# Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 73%, runner-up 53% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:46.816Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 53%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xde55263f4843ff39efeba08884e6e92b2af80fddf4ce93586dc5b12736b29dbc |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x1083aaebb1ee5fc7669e00ffbd7f30b223c37ffbf72564e37c39f9b5fd9404fd |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x137a07a40c862c48fa20e4bf0903615799188d89173bc6a02ef8f36908f75c60 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x1ae4fa2b0e1cebe32000a741ec07dc113ec3cbc71d668d9f2ebf47f090557485 |
| Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) | 23¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x13fca10ff23581e6dd606f11f66f4c391c6466503af462fce73756afe0c09be2 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x8c771d9b5ed14085fc1ecfaa14fc44e10b34e74333cd7ee161efeb124e340d08 |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) | 12¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xf874fea23e2749a660cf3f2d2f1b359d0e892dad6460eba65a6fb5b54c532d7f |
| Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5) | 12¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xadcf744a9640a6e377fe9053eb64b43a37dba200eb2040bcd1e199d9e34df821 |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) | 10¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xc60a6d5f37835d039139ee7a805003c7133a8aeb3a9aeb4c1c0175e32981d8a2 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | — | 51 |
| 2026-05-03 | 65 | 53 | 49 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) −8pp 37→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5) −4pp 32→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) −4pp 28→24¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) −3pp 28→25¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market estimates a 51% probability that both Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa Red Diamonds will score goals in their J-League match. The 51% level reflects modest expectation that both teams will find the net, slightly favoring this outcome over alternatives like a 1-0 scoreline or shutout. The probability is driven primarily by each team's recent offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities in J-League play. The match result itself will resolve the market when the fixture concludes; the timing depends on the scheduled kick-off date. Both teams' form heading into the fixture—particularly injury status of key attackers and defenders—represents the main uncertainty. Additionally, head-to-head patterns between these specific opponents influence expectations about whether defensive or offensive tendencies dominate their matchups.

### Key factors

- Kashiwa Reysol's goals-per-game average and defensive record this J-League season versus Urawa Red Diamonds' corresponding metrics
- Urawa Red Diamonds' recent form and whether key attacking or defensive players are unavailable due to injury or suspension
- Historical frequency of both-teams-to-score outcomes in previous Reysol-Red Diamonds fixtures
- Current league-wide offensive efficiency trends and whether defensive tactics have tightened in recent rounds
- The scheduled match date and whether weather or pitch conditions typically affect goal-scoring rates in J-League play

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.