# Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 20 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kawasaki-frontale-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:09.165Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $14

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 9¢ | −2pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| Draw (FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba) | 23¢ | −5pp | $4 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-draw-fc-tky-vs-polymarket-0xb361f90bba3856675aa64542ccaf60644763b8474aab2dc6e0a5ee413d9f8895 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x47d52bb27d62033542236cf8ed946ec29d0cdd9661b710c76d54838848879c5a |
| FC Tōkyō | 65¢ | +18pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-fc-tky-polymarket-0xd5f09f6d966dd3c8727eb13c91200ba46ed87cbb31a67eb0a7d56a806cc73626 |
| FC Tōkyō (-1.5) | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-f-polymarket-0x3724ce935c950bdee92ab9a7bccf463e09268169716ba78066ecb90f53e98650 |
| FC Tōkyō (-2.5) | 14¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-f-polymarket-0x77dc654bee03e970eb4717a8f7301a5b3ed7db50872bf9e9b3f6b875cd12c67e |
| O/U 2.5 | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xc3210d9c9d571653f484ffea92327a43a7a7f7810db117771e91c715a96e64d9 |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xa222ae03ae5427ae4af3d7ace4d99341683b51a54e51ec0858bee1c46cba3262 |
| O/U 1.5 | 77¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xf4e7f580f19c3ac682f676eabee37dfbfe1d8ed0b02607b2283162b245bc2eb9 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x371c76e1be96a44ed1b3fe9c187813b39f4ab0a2d3630296cbe029302669f813 |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 14¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-jef-united-ich-polymarket-0xdc8c78eda79ade97956dba9bf9eab7206e09111b0fd180b5111cfdbd49afb5f6 |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5) | 11¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-j-polymarket-0x6d4f0c510ebcdb69b7b6b129d6e60732f25b99d1f0574ff58ee6df211ddb5c80 |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5) | 10¢ | +13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-j-polymarket-0x33b4f0281337c93203a6b95c5159b2753735d793dc2f6c3bfe1bc7f0ca28ef17 |
| Tōkyō Verdy | 27¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-tky-verdy-polymarket-0x3d1c1d96948fe74dd5074638764492911ae0a05448b827f9f17d12d6a4cbae22 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x90099fd2923ed9ff2403ac27e3e1e34094d86bb0a7c3c6bef9df63463973118b |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5) | 14¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-kawasa-polymarket-0x3c1aa9a80edc6b086428b47577745380ec14a6a5fc83d1baf4197ee6a305576e |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5) | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-kawasa-polymarket-0x8de3ff056585d51097fd2482a4abc6cc83fb7dbe11744f648315460fa6d355c6 |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x85c5f0f7fd8dae6799a49dc23c05f129ce5dfb750790fedcfa75721598507cdb |
| Draw (Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy) | 28¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-draw-kawasaki-front-polymarket-0xae4b3d92dfbf729d1d1c4e1417dcc15eba5b50e062470235a681be0ac0768744 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 48¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-kawasaki-frontale-polymarket-0x5d662aad6811ae102961c08d7234cd8225aa5c3973ee6807090520d1c474c279 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 32 |
| 2026-05-03 | 35 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · FC Tōkyō +18pp 48→66¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5) +13pp 9→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · JEF United Ichihara Chiba −12pp 35→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · JEF United Ichihara Chiba −10pp 23→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5) +10pp 10→20¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kawasaki-frontale-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kawasaki-frontale-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets

## License

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