# Kōchi United SC vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 38% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kchi-united-sc-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:05.346Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 38% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $40

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x58385daf88ca47fa200b7d8f644073a7f5d65f7f79076ce514b59fe11065685c |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x1c95fd7c7cd5714466bec2cd499bfa3f162788f22f6740967e427b027a79fbab |
| FC Imabari (-2.5) | 33¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-fc-imaba-polymarket-0xc5e536f73960d338255762912c2cb36105eb7da32baf3b1e3a6f916aa8de58b4 |
| Albirex Niigata (-1.5) | 35¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-a-polymarket-0x01a64b6d8d860e39580fed23501e7b0bb25b7485c28469ceddd67860f9459a7e |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x55d84703f5f54bc1159a129e1c2ecc16fceb3cd10ddede2e1a60c796d392096b |
| Tokushima Vortis (-2.5) | 28¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-t-polymarket-0x5dd98abbcdca22c36520946957af932eb46e9ab5f3ec03a717ebb7da30e438d8 |
| Kōchi United SC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-kchi-uni-polymarket-0x2883031b3681b8cc500ba095208387b2429a956e269aedbc199d4a540ed28cb2 |
| Kōchi United SC (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-kchi-uni-polymarket-0xf3fbcae87d390cd786a36fce1ac11809719a0894f22d8783fadee1cfcaf0ff30 |
| Tokushima Vortis (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-t-polymarket-0x7eb8e51f44055078bfd4bfccc6e27c7141dfebcc3f3649b80febdf8ce6b1c63f |
| O/U 4.5 | 31¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xbff960fc7e0fe897b517ec4a6667af206dd5c051cac189c81658b47eaca78b67 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xa5ce223bf8232c5c2f8d4aae04ac65431b401310234dea268d56354b4bec337e |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xbeb972cf90358d08f200c25ff50f2f3225fe237c9ff42e009bbda7f0007d3a3f |
| FC Imabari (-1.5) | 36¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-fc-imaba-polymarket-0xc0761d86add72011fd4df560c90475c1f11f0a92f51f4fbc6ef37dc0df52230c |
| O/U 4.5 | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x2274e1938e218342db6bad0b9705832113b19ae38704593b94d6c15ae222b6f2 |
| O/U 1.5 | 63¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xf48e4bd6e403f37de521156a00891c2cf966681a80ae63e84a411c37c92c939a |
| Albirex Niigata (-2.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-a-polymarket-0x1e0203e082534575b22b1221ff01580a2192de3b6e2793a23e3c0834a1f4ea73 |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x168e563b2d4c7b1f468a99b54ea7449119ed44b9919b3e54941b2dbc316af6b6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-b-polymarket-0xc21a6231f9cc16b116b4c05980abb57d62a92f0e6cb6b222f23ee635556b0eea |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 35 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Imabari (-2.5) +6pp 32→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kōchi United SC (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Tokushima Vortis (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kōchi United SC (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kchi-united-sc-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kchi-united-sc-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
