# Kōchi United SC vs. Tokushima Vortis

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kchi-united-sc-vs-tokushima-vortis
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:24.161Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Imabari (-2.5) | 33¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-fc-imaba-polymarket-0xc5e536f73960d338255762912c2cb36105eb7da32baf3b1e3a6f916aa8de58b4 |
| Albirex Niigata (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-a-polymarket-0x01a64b6d8d860e39580fed23501e7b0bb25b7485c28469ceddd67860f9459a7e |
| Kōchi United SC (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-kchi-uni-polymarket-0xf3fbcae87d390cd786a36fce1ac11809719a0894f22d8783fadee1cfcaf0ff30 |
| FC Imabari | 49¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-fc-imabari-polymarket-0x6d33f07ea0195b4f34923cc9d6e7c87a83e957db63a804f9af8d65599eb9d8c4 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xbeb972cf90358d08f200c25ff50f2f3225fe237c9ff42e009bbda7f0007d3a3f |
| Draw (Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis) | 34¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-draw-albirex-n-polymarket-0x263600b119586d1efbd3eab3947384a3e05b2289436896763b90babed45590e2 |
| Kōchi United SC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-kchi-uni-polymarket-0x2883031b3681b8cc500ba095208387b2429a956e269aedbc199d4a540ed28cb2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-b-polymarket-0xc21a6231f9cc16b116b4c05980abb57d62a92f0e6cb6b222f23ee635556b0eea |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xbff960fc7e0fe897b517ec4a6667af206dd5c051cac189c81658b47eaca78b67 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x58385daf88ca47fa200b7d8f644073a7f5d65f7f79076ce514b59fe11065685c |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xf48e4bd6e403f37de521156a00891c2cf966681a80ae63e84a411c37c92c939a |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xa5ce223bf8232c5c2f8d4aae04ac65431b401310234dea268d56354b4bec337e |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x2274e1938e218342db6bad0b9705832113b19ae38704593b94d6c15ae222b6f2 |
| Albirex Niigata | 50¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-albirex-niigat-polymarket-0xa0a31c22b636cde8cc370009598c17c2acb3d7fc25936947e478f86c2ebc2bc7 |
| Tokushima Vortis | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-tokushima-vort-polymarket-0xb3a05a7a79c81086ea1ddfeb9b66b33e2dbfb37dbcab7f62fee6719d878867d6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x168e563b2d4c7b1f468a99b54ea7449119ed44b9919b3e54941b2dbc316af6b6 |
| Kōchi United SC | 34¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-kchi-united-sc-polymarket-0xf55736dc2c89fd4d52f23c9f6006e411a73fa0c71f3b111b4c1e84f43857d314 |
| Albirex Niigata (-2.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-a-polymarket-0x1e0203e082534575b22b1221ff01580a2192de3b6e2793a23e3c0834a1f4ea73 |
| Tokushima Vortis (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/albirex-niigata-vs-tokushima-vortis-more-markets-t-polymarket-0x7eb8e51f44055078bfd4bfccc6e27c7141dfebcc3f3649b80febdf8ce6b1c63f |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x55d84703f5f54bc1159a129e1c2ecc16fceb3cd10ddede2e1a60c796d392096b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 35 |
| 2026-05-02 | 41 |
| 2026-05-03 | 43 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · FC Imabari +13pp 32→45¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Imabari (-2.5) +6pp 32→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kōchi United SC (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Tokushima Vortis (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kōchi United SC (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kchi-united-sc-vs-tokushima-vortis
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kchi-united-sc-vs-tokushima-vortis

## License

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