# Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 30% across 18 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kleaguegame
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:20:22.022Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 30% (liquidity-weighted across 18 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (18 contracts)
- 24h volume: $27

## Bound contracts (18)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeju SK | 28¢ | +3pp | $27 | kalshi | /markets/bucheon-vs-jeju-sk-winner-jeju-sk-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05bucjej-jej |
| Seoul | 51¢ | +29pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/seoul-vs-fc-anyang-winner-seoul-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05seoany-seo |
| FC Anyang | 16¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/seoul-vs-fc-anyang-winner-fc-anyang-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05seoany-any |
| Tie | 24¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/seoul-vs-fc-anyang-winner-tie-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05seoany-tie |
| Gimcheon Sangmu | 32¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-vs-ulsan-hd-winner-gimcheon-sangmu-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gisuls-gis |
| Ulsan HD | 32¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-vs-ulsan-hd-winner-ulsan-hd-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gisuls-uls |
| Tie | 25¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-vs-ulsan-hd-winner-tie-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gisuls-tie |
| Gangwon | 42¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gangwon-vs-pohang-steelers-winner-gangwon-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gawpoh-gaw |
| Pohang Steelers | 21¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gangwon-vs-pohang-steelers-winner-pohang-steelers-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gawpoh-poh |
| Tie | 27¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gangwon-vs-pohang-steelers-winner-tie-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gawpoh-tie |
| Daejeon Citizen | 39¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/daejeon-citizen-vs-incheon-utd-winner-daejeon-citi-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05dajinc-daj |
| Incheon Utd | 25¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/daejeon-citizen-vs-incheon-utd-winner-incheon-utd-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05dajinc-inc |
| Tie | 23¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/daejeon-citizen-vs-incheon-utd-winner-tie-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05dajinc-tie |
| Jeonbuk | 68¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/jeonbuk-vs-gwangju-winner-jeonbuk-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05jeogwa-jeo |
| Gwangju | 7¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/jeonbuk-vs-gwangju-winner-gwangju-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05jeogwa-gwa |
| Tie | 16¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/jeonbuk-vs-gwangju-winner-tie-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05jeogwa-tie |
| Bucheon | 34¢ | +7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bucheon-vs-jeju-sk-winner-bucheon-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05bucjej-buc |
| Tie | 26¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bucheon-vs-jeju-sk-winner-tie-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05bucjej-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 26 |
| 2026-05-03 | 30 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Seoul +29pp 22→51¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Bucheon +7pp 27→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Jeonbuk +6pp 60→66¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Tie +4pp 24→28¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Jeju SK +3pp 25→28¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kleaguegame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kleaguegame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.