# Kontinental Hockey League

> Winner: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl leads at 52%, runner-up 50% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kontinental-hockey-league
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.296Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-06

## Headline

- Leader: Winner: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl at 52%
- Runner-up: Winner: Ak Bars Kazan at 50%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kontinental-hockey-league-winner-lokomotiv-yarosla-polymarket-0x0d0305e2fb0e25056dbc29b61a498af6b4fb1dd91440d36337ed46b002013336 |
| Winner: Ak Bars Kazan | 50¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kontinental-hockey-league-winner-ak-bars-kazan-polymarket-0xb111e40cf756c4a06b974fe62b3a9d03b4720209e7cd809d8f2bbabcc15e7991 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Winner: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | Winner: Ak Bars Kazan |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | 23 | 13 |
| 2026-05-02 | 20 | 30 |
| 2026-05-08 | 53 | 50 |

_11 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Winner: Ak Bars Kazan +19pp 32→51¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Winner: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl +16pp 37→53¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Winner: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl +15pp 22→37¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 45% probability reflects market expectations that Avangard Omsk will win the Kontinental Hockey League championship. The price suggests roughly 3-to-2 odds favoring them over the field, with Lokomotiv Yaroslavl as the second-choice contender at 22%. Avangard's elevated probability likely reflects their regular-season performance, roster depth, or playoff positioning heading into the spring tournament phase. The championship outcome will be determined by playoff results as teams compete through the KHL's elimination rounds, with the winner decided by season-end (typically June). Market pricing could shift based on playoff match-ups, injury updates, or performance swings during the tournament. Low trading volume on most contracts suggests limited recent activity, so significant new information could trigger repricing across the outcome set.

### Key factors

- Avangard Omsk's regular-season standings and playoff seeding relative to other contenders
- Head-to-head playoff match-up draws and bracket positioning in upcoming rounds
- Key player availability and injury status for Avangard and competing teams
- Historical playoff performance and win rates for Avangard versus Lokomotiv Yaroslavl and other top contenders
- Trading volume concentration ($50 24h volume on the Avangard contract vs. $0 on alternatives) indicating limited market confidence or consensus

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kontinental-hockey-league
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kontinental-hockey-league

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.