# Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Shimizu S-Pulse

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kyto-sanga-fc-vs-shimizu-spulse
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:35:43.886Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka) | 28¢ | +1pp | $4K | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-draw-shimizu-s-puls-polymarket-0xbd1972d70c4630591115085060040b342649031614502b0b4b4b219d13ddc96f |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −15pp | $2K | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd2a2424ae02003bbb337e656c3987b2b1d12ad9aad7fb9edb5868b6fa5a444ad |
| Draw (Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC) | 31¢ | +15pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-draw-avispa-fukuok-polymarket-0xdf82b18e1af51be650c130d61a97a0967f0095aa7737b396db70d426bd6d7194 |
| Cerezo Ōsaka | 35¢ | +14pp | $354 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-cerezo-saka-polymarket-0x87c3405568fdeaf6f7e7e6b396212b4ce8637e3e57f51308effe50224a1b889a |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 32¢ | −24pp | $294 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-avispa-fukuoka-polymarket-0x805f95840ab0ed43172a3f2195f2cac152f0d6e12d3fe7028ca4dd91db5d893c |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 38¢ | −26pp | $196 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-shimizu-s-pulse-polymarket-0x434537039ebd1deb897d55cff5634d5625c6c29f7faef1a90cd41f64b602a9ae |
| Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5) | 15¢ | −17pp | $177 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-cerezo-polymarket-0x3391937d9b697a5bd01565766582c3bf31c8227da2901e673fdf86f17afc6144 |
| O/U 1.5 | 70¢ | −1pp | $153 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xd4cc9afee05ce80f6b23cc017e3d9f86a7a62eb866e03d7484431a9a55c38cd8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 42¢ | −9pp | $141 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd9e96a64db32554c4a5a6b4f41279fa3b90ac2b57d0c50103860e12e40733268 |
| Kyōto Sanga FC | 39¢ | +10pp | $129 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-kyto-sanga-fc-polymarket-0xe6b9d547786ade247dba78e12c650c766fd6347c665d671ee8625c7ee0882783 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +3pp | $90 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-more-markets-both-polymarket-0x35fac179b3dbc0289e4000749ccf236afea6d0500b4671939c331fc0b221c35e |
| O/U 1.5 | 78¢ | +9pp | $53 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x699392956e8574b0068655f04c86340395da905db9a0a1c83691c96f140376a7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 21¢ | −9pp | $41 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xf1423f63f1a0ad179af8e4828f4df3595480e6b6ae4cf0dd26cdf4cd74041619 |
| Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5) | 18¢ | −27pp | $20 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-shimiz-polymarket-0x58a32c1a02227c98b8f87cbe8d4ae68c2fd5c63177f81dbcd5d059cf06b77fa2 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5) | 4¢ | −27pp | $16 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-more-markets-avisp-polymarket-0xf35f621ce574603ed9be29ced4c295540e0fbdffa6f70e74c326153ace076fe2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57¢ | +3pp | $7 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0xfb2380378688704b47494565f0cefde372a42d15936b8d92a9350bfe9e8afa88 |
| Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5) | 6¢ | −27pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-more-markets-kyto-polymarket-0xce29520e287e87ae78f2af8b3d8b68c8165203f33c82d9dcc3379088b4204178 |
| Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) | 6¢ | −21pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-cerezo-polymarket-0xbf161f60415e3e1fcbafa287b25cd8af8d21cc294931ae609a766e80193eec44 |
| Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5) | 7¢ | −30pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-shimiz-polymarket-0xc33d1c5ce506ddb23d75e315a0dc7191503b35752a13331c1bb03b4e0f2e62ae |
| O/U 4.5 | 9¢ | −27pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/avispa-fukuoka-vs-kyto-sanga-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x8ab58d7d68d2735114ad04e269a9af95e139735de128beb2c765d39dd0489774 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 36 |
| 2026-05-02 | 38 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |
| 2026-05-06 | 30 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5) −30pp 34→4¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5) −27pp 39→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5) −27pp 32→5¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5) −27pp 37→10¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 4.5 −27pp 34→7¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kyto-sanga-fc-vs-shimizu-spulse
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kyto-sanga-fc-vs-shimizu-spulse

## License

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