# Will Donald Trump issue any official announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming his nominee for Labor Secretary before May 1, 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/laborannounce
Updated: 2026-06-08T22:20:12.755Z
Category: politics · Topic: trump
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-09-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Sep 1, 2026 at 94%
- Runner-up: Before Aug 1, 2026 at 85%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $213

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 94¢ | ±0 | $29 | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-issue-any-official-announcement-kalshi-kxagannounce-26-sep01 |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 85¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-issue-any-official-announcement-kalshi-kxagannounce-26-aug01 |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 77¢ | +4pp | $183 | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-issue-any-official-announcement-kalshi-kxagannounce-26-jul01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Sep 1, 2026 | Before Aug 1, 2026 | Before Jul 1, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | — | 69 | 55 |
| 2026-05-17 | 65 | 69 | 56 |
| 2026-05-29 | 63 | 58 | 32 |
| 2026-05-30 | 63 | 61 | — |
| 2026-06-06 | 95 | 91 | 82 |
| 2026-06-08 | 94 | 88 | 81 |

_24 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-06 · Before Jul 1, 2026 −9pp 91→82¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · Before Jul 1, 2026 −5pp 82→77¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-06 · Before Aug 1, 2026 −5pp 96→91¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-08 · Before Jul 1, 2026 +4pp 77→81¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/laborannounce
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=laborannounce
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.