# LALIGA: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor)

> 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Deportivo Alaves leads at 51%, runner-up 49% across 15 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:41.436Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Deportivo Alaves at 51%
- Runner-up: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Sevilla at 49%
- Outcomes: 15 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (15 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (15)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Deportivo Alaves | 51¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-deportivo-al-polymarket-0x0b53ae86b6c7f07952a8459cf7b7b53478dfe7de43d99672285609e88fdc7656 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Sevilla | 49¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-sevilla-polymarket-0xd92706ae364fef168239a669e44d07ea399d60e7db17d3ad014dfb100479aa45 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Mallorca | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-mallorca-polymarket-0x75b69a10ba7de061b21031261e5d3abca437d435f807070b83da0287a788052a |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Rayo Vallecano | 48¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-rayo-valleca-polymarket-0x6f6faef04512292a1e2825bb5ddf846f33d77144073ce2c779fc7282393f8ce7 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Espanyol | 48¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-espanyol-polymarket-0xf37459c16ffc2d8ecfcbb0208558da82ca463d0dc51833e2546f1085ab659a85 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Valencia | 48¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-valencia-polymarket-0xd4e11eb4eb24def8d8f67e0999308c15f61facf9e7e68d95b58437c3bc1e3a60 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Levante | 48¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-levante-polymarket-0x1c5e716a1485d91f6d463474a0b5eb4aa5a459daa2ee7e5ffb637d934fc58e50 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Real Oviedo | 48¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-real-oviedo-polymarket-0x83a171ef975a8a08ea4bfc7db2ca18fd239952a08e41685233e527e03b9d5ae8 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Celta Vigo | 47¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-celta-vigo-polymarket-0x6a31202180d9fedd0b88ecf382974eeaee43de6c3b2eaf9e7a4d83ec24b51f14 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Athletic Bilbao | 47¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-athletic-bil-polymarket-0xc05c4b20eca56a59acfdefec50c6e634c2f5778a4f2f262f275107472630490a |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Real Sociedad | 47¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-real-socieda-polymarket-0xfaf822009c04b19e3e8a85010c7caf73456829ae1e626274c4808a6dc0e3e182 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Osasuna | 47¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-osasuna-polymarket-0xed3d4c323e89362e82c72c2d65985d9b991a99eb6672f00d45bd698bc8399f82 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Getafe | 46¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-getafe-polymarket-0x8d9269ecdfdab2a0498e4794582c6527b79822870fca4f2af870afff52f6c410 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Girona | 46¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-girona-polymarket-0x2ac7776e261e0821060e9b273d6e3f763191822560e0fa2fc18030a4b3c5d578 |
| 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Elche | 10¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor-elche-polymarket-0x638001e5c8eb38819f57401ba7ad02195012ec2219c281ada58e7023c81b48b4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Deportivo Alaves | 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Sevilla | 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Mallorca |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 46 | 41 | 45 |
| 2026-05-02 | 50 | 48 | 48 |
| 2026-05-09 | 51 | 49 | 48 |

_13 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Elche −20pp 48→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Getafe +17pp 28→45¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Getafe −15pp 43→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Elche −7pp 28→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Getafe −5pp 48→43¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability reflects the market's assessment that Deportivo Alavés will finish 17th in La Liga and avoid automatic relegation, with a narrow edge over Celta Vigo at 49%. The outcome depends primarily on remaining match results and goal differential among the bottom clubs—teams currently in or near the relegation zone will strengthen their position with wins, while defeats increase their relegation risk. The resolution occurs at the end of the 2025–26 La Liga season (typically mid-June 2026), when final standings become official. Until then, each round of matches will move probabilities as the points gap between Alavés and its competitors tightens or widens.

### Key factors

- Deportivo Alavés' remaining fixture difficulty and head-to-head records against other bottom-six competitors will directly affect survival odds
- Current points total and goal differential between Alavés, Celta Vigo, and other relegation-contending teams as of late May 2026
- Match results in the final 3–4 rounds of the season (late May through mid-June 2026) determine which team lands in 17th place vs. 18th/19th (automatic relegation)
- Injury status and squad depth of Alavés' key players, which influence consistency in crucial final matches
- Historical win rates and defensive records of Alavés vs. competing teams in similar pressure situations

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=laliga-17th-place-relegation-survivor

## License

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