# Real Betis at Girona

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 39% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/laligatotal
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:43.556Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-28

## Headline

- Probability: 39% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $12K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 76¢ | +25pp | $11K | kalshi | /markets/real-madrid-at-barcelona-totals-over-25-goals-scor-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may10barrma-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 56¢ | +21pp | $248 | kalshi | /markets/real-madrid-at-barcelona-totals-over-35-goals-scor-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may10barrma-3 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 16¢ | +1pp | $195 | kalshi | /markets/celta-vigo-at-atletico-totals-over-45-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may09atmrcc-4 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 18¢ | ±0 | $126 | kalshi | /markets/real-betis-at-real-sociedad-totals-over-45-goals-s-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may09rsorbb-4 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 36¢ | +1pp | $61 | kalshi | /markets/real-betis-at-real-sociedad-totals-over-35-goals-s-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may09rsorbb-3 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 37¢ | +2pp | $59 | kalshi | /markets/real-madrid-at-barcelona-totals-over-45-goals-scor-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may10barrma-4 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 91¢ | +3pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/real-madrid-at-barcelona-totals-over-15-goals-scor-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may10barrma-1 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 54¢ | +1pp | $9 | kalshi | /markets/villarreal-at-mallorca-totals-over-25-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may10malvil-2 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 13¢ | +1pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/girona-at-vallecano-totals-over-45-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may11rvcgir-4 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 6¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/getafe-at-oviedo-totals-over-45-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may10oviget-4 |
| Over 1.5 goals scored | 23¢ | −7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-15-goals-be-scored-over-15-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14rmaovi-1 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 67¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-25-goals-be-scored-over-25-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14rmaovi-2 |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 42¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-35-goals-be-scored-over-35-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14rmaovi-3 |
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 21¢ | +9pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-45-goals-be-scored-over-45-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14rmaovi-4 |
| Over 1.5 goals scored | 24¢ | +10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-15-goals-be-scored-over-15-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14girrso-1 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 53¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-25-goals-be-scored-over-25-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14girrso-2 |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 26¢ | +10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-35-goals-be-scored-over-35-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14girrso-3 |
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 9¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-45-goals-be-scored-over-45-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14girrso-4 |
| Over 1.5 goals scored | 70¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-15-goals-be-scored-over-15-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14vcfrvc-1 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 48¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-25-goals-be-scored-over-25-goals-scored-kalshi-kxlaligatotal-26may14vcfrvc-2 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 11 |
| 2026-05-09 | 25 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored +84pp 2→86¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored +25pp 51→76¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored +21pp 34→55¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored +21pp 33→54¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored +12pp 4→16¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/laligatotal
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=laligatotal

## License

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