# Will Kelsey Mitchell lead Women's Pro Basketball in total three pointers made for the 2026 regular season

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 12% across 6 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/leaderwnba3pt
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:40.005Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-11-08

## Headline

- Probability: 12% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $380

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron | 5¢ | — | $206 | kalshi | /markets/will-sonia-citron-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-to-kalshi-kxleaderwnba3pt-2026-scitron22 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 4¢ | −1pp | $86 | kalshi | /markets/will-sabrina-ionescu-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-kalshi-kxleaderwnba3pt-2026-sionescu20 |
| Rhyne Howard | 10¢ | −5pp | $52 | kalshi | /markets/will-rhyne-howard-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-to-kalshi-kxleaderwnba3pt-2026-rhoward10 |
| Caitlin Clark | 34¢ | +1pp | $35 | kalshi | /markets/will-caitlin-clark-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-t-kalshi-kxleaderwnba3pt-2026-cclark22 |
| Kelsey Plum | 16¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kelsey-plum-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-tot-kalshi-kxleaderwnba3pt-2026-kplum10 |
| Napheesa Collier | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-napheesa-collier-lead-womens-pro-basketball-i-kalshi-kxleaderwnba3pt-2026-ncollier24 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 16 |
| 2026-05-07 | 15 |
| 2026-05-08 | 19 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Caitlin Clark +12pp 25→37¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Rhyne Howard −5pp 18→13¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/leaderwnba3pt
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=leaderwnba3pt

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
