# Will A'ja Wilson lead Women's Pro Basketball in points per game for the 2026 regular season

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 18% across 4 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/leaderwnbapts
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:44.290Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2026-11-08

## Headline

- Probability: 18% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $17

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 36¢ | ±0 | $17 | kalshi | /markets/will-aja-wilson-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-poin-kalshi-kxleaderwnbapts-26-awilson22 |
| Caitlin Clark | 19¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-caitlin-clark-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-p-kalshi-kxleaderwnbapts-26-cclark22 |
| Napheesa Collier | 3¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-napheesa-collier-lead-womens-pro-basketball-i-kalshi-kxleaderwnbapts-26-ncollier24 |
| Paige Bueckers | 15¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-paige-bueckers-lead-womens-pro-basketball-in-kalshi-kxleaderwnbapts-26-pbueckers5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 22 |
| 2026-05-08 | 19 |
| 2026-05-09 | 36 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · A'ja Wilson −3pp 39→36¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/leaderwnbapts
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=leaderwnbapts

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.