# Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 37% across 20 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:08.079Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 37% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $874

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC | 16¢ | +1pp | $392 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-liaonin-polymarket-0x76793744c55b6f396dfdf0e4eab54c2c1218d025b5f56e00a0f5c6bd834c230b |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 61¢ | −4pp | $73 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-chengdu-polymarket-0x6c60acc50474a4a4c0433599ebd0985ed84a4bed0c3c704107cd5ed0c366e575 |
| Dalian Yingbo FC | 23¢ | −3pp | $45 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-dalian-yingbo-polymarket-0x49cf3f5798088c5e4dd8a05df46ab949f8f7cf75a6d496edf1b8fab7bd317a83 |
| Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC) | 23¢ | −5pp | $39 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-draw-beijing-polymarket-0x331ebca57157765abb9b4b2733b18357bc80ff31210a36b843648025675ebacc |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| O/U 2.5 | 63¢ | — | $8 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xd0a2f0efd684af9051d535ebfb688b7037a3996508900509e3edc8d229d702d4 |
| Beijing Guoan FC | 57¢ | +2pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-beijing-guoan-polymarket-0xf01918eea22a0e322918de91230de4c3c23af0fbae614994896ffd4a1493b115 |
| O/U 1.5 | 78¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x796d0b933764a3bc48b0009b04375a6c9c1224a834fa760e6f521695f86e4310 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xa6bb1fce81a5a070df83386ddc0cac05f8910909895e60ee4e257a2b3c45bbaa |
| O/U 1.5 | 83¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x40161963962b8f77c1298da6c8338a8cbabb32c59102ac2c8c8f1f56ab49be41 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 5¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1da10fb00a9e9cf7001b543bdc336af0cd1b788456be443cc5955b3f7f30ed87 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) | 15¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x45e030f23009132654bc0587068797b39b2abc38de5613ea77ad712c63f5a07f |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x691544e2f6cbc85be5e0a5bf08bd8c7f51c2a8d2b626d6f63dafb62360616208 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x3ff606b99c24d4c886534599d596a64de569f7c053b4512c9176e268c5af2e24 |
| O/U 4.5 | 23¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x7eaf4e46731eb3c7efcc3e74ffe1444df46671214afdf62cc8fcbf8616c1d03e |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | 34¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x069e2b9a3e65104909d365470d3ce07fd6b91dea5136ddd36b172f02fa91e280 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x82156713db504fa2705c1ff9ce5c00f07f9e142ed44f3c47d645161336c577e8 |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xabf5f0fe5460feaa70901d1fbaba1a0b8ae789d8380cf2d8d67ab738832ee2ae |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xd79dfebaca45de486c711df7ef97657def0ff910ce0302f037b71716deb6f845 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 38 |
| 2026-05-02 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | 33 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) −10pp 32→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC −9pp 25→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Chengdu Rongcheng FC +5pp 60→65¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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## License

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