# Will both teams score

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 53% across 1 contract — refreshed 19 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ligamxbtts
Updated: 2026-07-26T11:20:49.901Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-08-10

## Headline

- Probability: 53% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $181

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | 53¢ | ±0 | $181 | kalshi | /markets/will-both-teams-score-both-teams-to-score-kalshi-kxligamxbtts-26jul26pacque-btts |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | 42 |
| 2026-07-20 | 50 |
| 2026-07-26 | 53 |

_10 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-07-22 · Both Teams To Score +3pp 48→51¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market is pricing the likelihood that both teams will score at least one goal in an upcoming match at 54%, indicating slightly better odds than not. The probability reflects how teams are expected to perform offensively and defensively—higher defensive quality or injury absences would lower this figure, while teams known for scoring consistency would push it higher. The outcome will be determined once the match concludes and the final goal count is recorded. Recent contract pricing shows variation between 35¢ and 47¢, suggesting some disagreement among traders about whether this outcome is more or less likely than the headline probability indicates.

### Key factors

- Both teams' recent goal-scoring rates in comparable matches
- Defensive record and goalkeeper performance of each team
- Team lineup absences due to injury or suspension
- Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these specific teams
- Match venue and playing conditions expected at game time

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ligamxbtts
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ligamxbtts

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.