# Ligue 1 - Which Clubs Get Relegated

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 11% across 1 contract — refreshed 42 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ligue-1-which-clubs-get-relegated
Updated: 2026-06-08T11:20:12.296Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-02-28

## Headline

- Probability: 11% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Polymarket (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disclosure Day | 11¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-film-will-get-the-most-oscar-nominations-at-polymarket-0x7820fd1e1090197acfe7f26b935baa491d1594c0982a37c3c0ca22323fb62430 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 10 |
| 2026-05-25 | 6 |
| 2026-06-01 | 9 |
| 2026-06-08 | 11 |

_25 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ligue-1-which-clubs-get-relegated
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ligue-1-which-clubs-get-relegated

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.