# Stade Brest vs Lens Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 36% across 20 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ligue1game
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:40.374Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-27

## Headline

- Probability: 36% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $11K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSG | 83¢ | −1pp | $7K | kalshi | /markets/psg-vs-stade-brest-winner-psg-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10psgstb-psg |
| Stade Brest | 6¢ | ±0 | $1K | kalshi | /markets/psg-vs-stade-brest-winner-stade-brest-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10psgstb-stb |
| PSG | 47¢ | +2pp | $889 | kalshi | /markets/lens-vs-psg-winner-psg-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may13rclpsg-psg |
| Tie | 10¢ | +1pp | $676 | kalshi | /markets/psg-vs-stade-brest-winner-tie-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10psgstb-tie |
| Lyon | 54¢ | +1pp | $441 | kalshi | /markets/toulouse-vs-lyon-winner-lyon-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10tfcol-ol |
| Le Havre | 26¢ | +1pp | $344 | kalshi | /markets/le-havre-vs-marseille-winner-le-havre-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10hacom-hac |
| Tie | 23¢ | +18pp | $287 | kalshi | /markets/toulouse-vs-lyon-winner-tie-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10tfcol-tie |
| Marseille | 47¢ | ±0 | $249 | kalshi | /markets/le-havre-vs-marseille-winner-marseille-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10hacom-om |
| Lille | 34¢ | ±0 | $178 | kalshi | /markets/monaco-vs-lille-winner-lille-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10asmlil-lil |
| Auxerre | 38¢ | +1pp | $118 | kalshi | /markets/auxerre-vs-nice-winner-auxerre-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10auxnic-aux |
| Nice | 31¢ | −1pp | $61 | kalshi | /markets/auxerre-vs-nice-winner-nice-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10auxnic-nic |
| Lorient | 44¢ | +1pp | $43 | kalshi | /markets/metz-vs-lorient-winner-lorient-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10fcmfcl-fcl |
| Monaco | 39¢ | +27pp | $22 | kalshi | /markets/monaco-vs-lille-winner-monaco-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10asmlil-asm |
| Stade Rennais | 63¢ | −1pp | $22 | kalshi | /markets/stade-rennais-vs-paris-winner-stade-rennais-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10renpar-ren |
| Toulouse | 21¢ | +13pp | $22 | kalshi | /markets/toulouse-vs-lyon-winner-toulouse-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10tfcol-tfc |
| Tie | 27¢ | ±0 | $15 | kalshi | /markets/auxerre-vs-nice-winner-tie-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10auxnic-tie |
| Angers | 33¢ | +2pp | $14 | kalshi | /markets/angers-vs-strasbourg-alsace-winner-angers-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10angrcs-ang |
| Strasbourg Alsace | 37¢ | ±0 | $3 | kalshi | /markets/angers-vs-strasbourg-alsace-winner-strasbourg-alsa-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10angrcs-rcs |
| Tie | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/le-havre-vs-marseille-winner-tie-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10hacom-tie |
| Lens | 26¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/lens-vs-psg-winner-lens-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may13rclpsg-rcl |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 12 |
| 2026-05-06 | 35 |
| 2026-05-07 | 35 |
| 2026-05-08 | 40 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · PSG +52pp 32→84¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Lyon +49pp 5→54¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Marseille +42pp 5→47¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Lorient +39pp 5→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Strasbourg Alsace +36pp 5→41¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ligue1game
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ligue1game

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.