# Lillestrøm SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 44% across 19 contracts — refreshed 22 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lillestrm-sk-vs-fk-bodglimt-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T11:35:17.233Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 44% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $949

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 31¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $193 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| O/U 4.5 | 33¢ | ±0 | $8 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbba59ee557785dccaa38616ad7638693b68b386142b323e99c15799a1ec56533 |
| O/U 3.5 | 53¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x85b3e4c6dce14f890305a593c31809762755b5292262ddf241ef302afafd0fa1 |
| O/U 2.5 | 75¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x27b4e7e9bbe0da233091783d8c72d1eeb89f4ab313c73abfb2b8cbf610eaa7ed |
| Both Teams to Score | 62¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-both-teams-to-polymarket-0x935aefc8fe925277b1c75357b4d8b7acd7b9026df0d67c3e43d676b84e63c561 |
| O/U 1.5 | 90¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x9d9b180599d5368c1129158e8a9f7c0f6586c918ccde691fab350935161bae7c |
| Molde FK (-2.5) | 6¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-molde-fk-25-polymarket-0x89b8dde2cd62c99ee998fa2678d0a74dcf6a5595db966b01e3095a980f670d69 |
| Molde FK (-1.5) | 5¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-molde-fk-15-polymarket-0x8e7ca6cc6a708cc573037cadab9106f52e03fb9c3ac52036fff27a161e363a88 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 45 |
| 2026-05-02 | 45 |
| 2026-05-03 | 43 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 1.5 +6pp 84→90¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lillestrm-sk-vs-fk-bodglimt-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=lillestrm-sk-vs-fk-bodglimt-more-markets

## License

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