# Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in United Kingdom before July 27, 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 3 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/livoccur
Updated: 2026-05-25T14:20:11.267Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-08-10

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 3 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11¢ | +9pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-a-liv-golf-tournament-take-place-in-new-jerse-kalshi-kxlivoccur-26lignj-yes |
| Yes | 14¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-a-liv-golf-tournament-take-place-in-united-ki-kalshi-kxlivoccur-26liguk-yes |
| Yes | 94¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-liv-golf-korea-take-place-in-south-korea-befo-kalshi-kxlivoccur-26ligko-yes |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 2 |
| 2026-05-11 | 78 |
| 2026-05-18 | 45 |
| 2026-05-25 | 94 |

_21 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-20 · Yes +9pp 2→11¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-20 · Yes −5pp 87→82¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-23 · Yes +4pp 87→91¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-18 · Yes +3pp 83→86¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-22 · Yes +3pp 84→87¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/livoccur
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=livoccur

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.