# SIG Strasbourg vs Le Portel Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 46% across 6 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lnbelitegame
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.479Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 46% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $30

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIG Strasbourg | 25¢ | +1pp | $26 | kalshi | /markets/sig-strasbourg-vs-asvel-lyon-villeurbanne-winner-s-kalshi-kxlnbelitegame-26may091430sigasv-sig |
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 71¢ | −2pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/sig-strasbourg-vs-asvel-lyon-villeurbanne-winner-a-kalshi-kxlnbelitegame-26may091430sigasv-asv |
| AS Monaco | 28¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/paris-basketball-vs-as-monaco-winner-as-monaco-kalshi-kxlnbelitegame-26may101315parmon-mon |
| Paris Basketball | 62¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/paris-basketball-vs-as-monaco-winner-paris-basketb-kalshi-kxlnbelitegame-26may101315parmon-par |
| Cholet Basket | 67¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/sluc-nancy-basket-vs-cholet-basket-winner-cholet-b-kalshi-kxlnbelitegame-26may101030snbcho-cho |
| Sluc Nancy Basket | 23¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/sluc-nancy-basket-vs-cholet-basket-winner-sluc-nan-kalshi-kxlnbelitegame-26may101030snbcho-snb |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 8 |
| 2026-05-07 | 13 |
| 2026-05-08 | 16 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne +8pp 10→18¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · SIG Strasbourg +6pp 6→12¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Cholet Basket +6pp 14→20¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · AS Monaco +5pp 18→23¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Paris Basketball +4pp 6→10¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lnbelitegame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=lnbelitegame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.