# Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 43% across 15 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/los-angeles-galaxy-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:21.459Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 43% (liquidity-weighted across 15 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 42% / Polymarket 51% — 9pp spread
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (15)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Surge | 13¢ | +2pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-the-los-angeles-thieves-v-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031500latvan-van |
| Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass | 53¢ | −7pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-nithya-raman-and-karen-bass-be-the-nominees-i-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-nramkbas |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 85¢ | +3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-the-los-angeles-thiev-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031500latvan-lat |
| Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt | 23¢ | −7pp | $632 | kalshi | /markets/will-nithya-raman-and-spencer-pratt-be-the-nominee-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-nramspra |
| Over 4.5 maps | 18¢ | −17pp | $594 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-45-maps-be-played-in-the-los-angeles-thi-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031500latvan-5 |
| Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt | 25¢ | +3pp | $526 | kalshi | /markets/will-karen-bass-and-spencer-pratt-be-the-nominees-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-kbasspra |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 54¢ | −2pp | $512 | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-map-2-in-the-los-ange-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-2-lat |
| Over 3.5 maps | 55¢ | −23pp | $312 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-35-maps-be-played-in-the-los-angeles-thi-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031500latvan-4 |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 75¢ | ±0 | $86 | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-map-1-in-the-los-ange-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-1-lat |
| Vancouver Surge | 17¢ | ±0 | $50 | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-map-1-in-the-los-angeles-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-1-van |
| Vancouver Surge | 16¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-map-3-in-the-los-angeles-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-3-van |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 75¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-map-3-in-the-los-ange-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-3-lat |
| Vancouver Surge | 38¢ | −6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-map-2-in-the-los-angeles-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-2-van |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0e25b551a118495f7e2c433fd68e6e53fcf38d6641d1723c648e6161691a6674 |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x087e96b348af724088fc5c0c9620932971bbee21079bd0619bac94f9d8554031 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 20 |
| 2026-04-20 | 34 |
| 2026-04-26 | 18 |
| 2026-05-03 | 38 |

_19 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · Over 3.5 maps +43pp 10→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 3.5 maps −23pp 56→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 4.5 maps −17pp 20→3¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Over 4.5 maps +10pp 10→20¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Over 4.5 maps +8pp 2→10¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/los-angeles-galaxy-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=los-angeles-galaxy-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-fc-more-markets

## License

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