# Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 3 contracts — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/los-angeles-galaxy-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:43.796Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-06-02

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 3 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt | 68¢ | +6pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-karen-bass-and-spencer-pratt-be-the-nominees-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-kbasspra |
| Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass | 23¢ | −9pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-nithya-raman-and-karen-bass-be-the-nominees-i-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-nramkbas |
| Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt | 6¢ | +3pp | $586 | kalshi | /markets/will-nithya-raman-and-spencer-pratt-be-the-nominee-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-nramspra |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 20 |
| 2026-04-25 | 20 |
| 2026-05-02 | 26 |
| 2026-05-09 | 37 |

_23 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt +28pp 21→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass −18pp 51→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt −16pp 32→16¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt +13pp 49→62¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt −13pp 16→3¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/los-angeles-galaxy-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=los-angeles-galaxy-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-fc

## License

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