# Will the minimum temperature be >52° on Apr 22, 2026

> 53° to 54° leads at 49%, runner-up 29% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtdc
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.045Z
Category: climate
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: 53° to 54° at 49%
- Runner-up: 55° to 56° at 29%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $220

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53° to 54° | 49¢ | — | $72 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-53-54-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtdc-26may09-b53.5 |
| 55° to 56° | 29¢ | — | $124 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-55-56-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtdc-26may09-b55.5 |
| 51° to 52° | 8¢ | — | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-51-52-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtdc-26may09-b51.5 |
| 57° or above | 6¢ | — | $23 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-56-on-may-9-2026-5-kalshi-kxlowtdc-26may09-t56 |

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtdc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=lowtdc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.