# Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Apr 21, 2026

> 58° to 59° leads at 30%, runner-up 18% across 6 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 51 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtden
Updated: 2026-06-08T05:20:10.409Z
Category: climate
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-08

## Headline

- Leader: 58° to 59° at 30%
- Runner-up: 60° to 61° at 18%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58° to 59° | 30¢ | ±0 | $304 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-58-59-on-jun-8-202-kalshi-kxlowtden-26jun08-b58.5 |
| 60° to 61° | 18¢ | −5pp | $230 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-60-61-on-jun-8-202-kalshi-kxlowtden-26jun08-b60.5 |
| 56° to 57° | 16¢ | +3pp | $805 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-56-57-on-jun-8-202-kalshi-kxlowtden-26jun08-b56.5 |
| 55° or below | 12¢ | +5pp | $837 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-56-on-jun-8-2026-5-kalshi-kxlowtden-26jun08-t56 |
| 64° or above | 8¢ | −3pp | $391 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-63-on-jun-8-2026-6-kalshi-kxlowtden-26jun08-t63 |
| 62° to 63° | 8¢ | +1pp | $87 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-62-63-on-jun-8-202-kalshi-kxlowtden-26jun08-b62.5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 58° to 59° | 60° to 61° | 56° to 57° |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | 21 | 24 | 21 |
| 2026-06-08 | 21 | 19 | 24 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-08 · 55° or below +5pp 6→11¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-08 · 60° to 61° −5pp 24→19¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-08 · 56° to 57° +3pp 21→24¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-08 · 64° or above −3pp 11→8¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtden
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=lowtden

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.