# Will the minimum temperature be <60° on Apr 22, 2026

> 72° to 73° leads at 37%, runner-up 29% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowthou
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:43.289Z
Category: climate
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: 72° to 73° at 37%
- Runner-up: 70° to 71° at 29%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72° to 73° | 37¢ | +2pp | $412 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-72-73-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowthou-26may09-b72.5 |
| 70° to 71° | 29¢ | +3pp | $16 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-70-71-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowthou-26may09-b70.5 |
| 74° or above | 15¢ | ±0 | $488 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-73-on-may-9-2026-7-kalshi-kxlowthou-26may09-t73 |
| 68° to 69° | 10¢ | −1pp | $81 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-68-69-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowthou-26may09-b68.5 |
| 66° to 67° | 3¢ | ±0 | $128 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-66-67-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowthou-26may09-b66.5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 72° to 73° | 70° to 71° | 74° or above |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | 36 | 29 | 14 |
| 2026-05-09 | 38 | 32 | 14 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · 70° to 71° +3pp 29→32¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowthou
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=lowthou

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.