# Will the minimum temperature be <42° on Apr 22, 2026

> 46° to 47° leads at 35%, runner-up 32% across 6 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtmin
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.026Z
Category: climate
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: 46° to 47° at 35%
- Runner-up: 48° to 49° at 32%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46° to 47° | 35¢ | — | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-46-47-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtmin-26may09-b46.5 |
| 48° to 49° | 32¢ | — | $170 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-48-49-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtmin-26may09-b48.5 |
| 44° to 45° | 10¢ | — | $107 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-44-45-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtmin-26may09-b44.5 |
| 50° or above | 7¢ | — | $614 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-49-on-may-9-2026-5-kalshi-kxlowtmin-26may09-t49 |
| 42° to 43° | 6¢ | — | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-42-43-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtmin-26may09-b42.5 |
| 41° or below | 3¢ | — | $245 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-42-on-may-9-2026-4-kalshi-kxlowtmin-26may09-t42 |

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtmin
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=lowtmin

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.