# Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Apr 22, 2026

> 52° to 53° leads at 39%, runner-up 39% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtnyc
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.521Z
Category: climate
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: 52° to 53° at 39%
- Runner-up: 50° to 51° at 39%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52° to 53° | 39¢ | — | $492 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-52-53-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtnyc-26may09-b52.5 |
| 50° to 51° | 39¢ | — | $422 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-50-51-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtnyc-26may09-b50.5 |
| 54° to 55° | 10¢ | — | $628 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-54-55-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtnyc-26may09-b54.5 |
| 48° to 49° | 3¢ | — | $877 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-temperature-be-48-49-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxlowtnyc-26may09-b48.5 |

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/lowtnyc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=lowtnyc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
