# Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/matsumoto-yamaga-fc-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:22.451Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x12cb79b9213eccdd8f35d1135073dd17e5e20273e2306aeb96b44cccd091e2fd |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-matsum-polymarket-0x17df3fdd9ae468ca339d552365e8b3fcb832dc058c848ee984ec609927e93a78 |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-2.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x50d1b1bda87e6cd16b3ed4f8e35650399bc8f3d463ed3272a8f24db36584dd2f |
| O/U 1.5 | 69¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x2e6bb7cb8f323d978a8fadf561c1496a0f6d8298d2c6efa5321b54bee0705304 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x2d6f526ac4b489f0fa76b549ed100f2a4ef6c42208eb1c75fe4a73494f46eee5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x14ea8881e0ff991b7eac70c6ccd9ae80d585a7218622d7c937f1335dcb9ff55f |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0xcca25a65e8448fbb4aa8c06f0ca6fbf0c7b3cb6060a43dd0414d69b32b1fc845 |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x3db89e322cf7de910df0fae46ada35f0f46cb9d277932a373291b408016c85f4 |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-2.5) | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x0f2b3ba75971abcde502d3fa8eeb0dbbbce4901c67fafb3cdf002aa3f5049e2a |
| Both Teams to Score | 56¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x3d911221648823c1087df22eb6d2d5fc2ee0ef213d51afeb1b4193a777432eaf |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x49ed80a3b9531eea817bc20384d20ac3eae558d647ba1b09354789e33b33fb98 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xe897e50d7baaa8c1d5c4fd529fcb12245c25e1169e9f4b010bcb870b0cb145d0 |
| FC Gifu (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-fc-gif-polymarket-0xc2a30acf8595cda38cdf9ddce26e0d8d591c59ed085c912592d0a8027540e6c8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x99c50343946e8b33ee41d8c1c5162c6cc993dadadb0ffed6ee05f95784386f42 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0aa1722974d0d761f7018efffe974ca6abd0209d5e331d478e2af3d9fc3d3ef6 |
| FC Gifu (-2.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-fc-gif-polymarket-0x357eb004b00c13faa2a3d4747cdaf5e3560c72bd526a9fd60c94b0b22de95b1a |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5) | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-matsum-polymarket-0x1852d18e0a0dafb61e1e56b56bbf939e15f90a9fda5e851a5b6fd6dee03e1f72 |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x3a25257752ae203ce7e44aaf9f83b67e7af6cee3a7fff4ce75b267ea89272e6c |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC | 36¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-polymarket-0x992a3f1a9f252274f4df1be65647a7e0f96a20114685b4e80df541e7f9623909 |
| Thespa Gunma (-2.5) | 35¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-the-polymarket-0xf0472b72ea8a9953d1d21b5fe997a73300e0f2f19e02ae3d86bc2222f77099af |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 43 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score +5pp 50→55¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Gifu (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 51→54¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/matsumoto-yamaga-fc-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=matsumoto-yamaga-fc-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-more-markets
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

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