# MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

> Bridget Brink leads at 75%, runner-up 18% across 6 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 23 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mi07-democratic-primary-winner
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:11.311Z
Category: general · Topic: election-2026
Status: active
Closes: 2026-08-04

## Headline

- Leader: Bridget Brink at 75%
- Runner-up: William Lawrence at 18%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Brink | 75¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mi-07-democratic-primary-winner-bridget-brink-polymarket-0xd2d7b77caa7e513dc8ad74c0c4c66acfbaa7384d79f5d0e4bb4f88666ac3b496 |
| William Lawrence | 18¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mi-07-democratic-primary-winner-william-lawrence-polymarket-0xef7feb067decb2706989f0564f6c283475f08f7496d1c8982a7c7e8555156ac0 |
| Elyon Badger | 5¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mi-07-democratic-primary-winner-elyon-badger-polymarket-0x28b060c7894022b2b706be95140e1a31138febef5ea9f5cfc5ead8ecacd87a56 |
| Matt Maasdam | 5¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mi-07-democratic-primary-winner-matt-maasdam-polymarket-0x2f9712ddd3ca1ca5a94539cd9b72212fa6365c566612fbd62b123985bceb854e |
| Josh Cowen | 4¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mi-07-democratic-primary-winner-josh-cowen-polymarket-0x4bf69008f3001f6547b74c50f7953958b2d1d85bcc7d1e6ca0088ac1995231c2 |
| Muhammad Salman Rais | 4¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mi-07-democratic-primary-winner-muhammad-salman-ra-polymarket-0xc3e6d400981facf9b90349253209c70607f6cfa50e26250429b69da6a7999f08 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Bridget Brink | William Lawrence | Elyon Badger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 52 | 45 | — |
| 2026-05-19 | 52 | 45 | 5 |
| 2026-05-21 | 46 | 45 | 5 |
| 2026-05-28 | 74 | 18 | 2 |

_12 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-25 · Bridget Brink +25pp 52→77¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-25 · William Lawrence −21pp 36→15¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-24 · Bridget Brink +14pp 38→52¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-24 · William Lawrence −9pp 45→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-25 · Matt Maasdam −8pp 12→4¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mi07-democratic-primary-winner
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mi07-democratic-primary-winner
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.