# Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner in the Maine Senate race before May 15, 2026

> Before Nov 3, 2026 leads at 82%, runner-up 64% across 6 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/millsplatner
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.441Z
Category: general · Topic: election-2026
Status: active
Closes: 2026-11-03

## Headline

- Leader: Before Nov 3, 2026 at 82%
- Runner-up: Before Aug 1, 2026 at 64%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $127

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 3, 2026 | 82¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-janet-mills-endorse-graham-platner-in-the-mai-kalshi-kxmillsplatner-26nov03-nov03 |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 64¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-janet-mills-endorse-graham-platner-in-the-mai-kalshi-kxmillsplatner-26nov03-aug01 |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 48¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-janet-mills-endorse-graham-platner-in-the-mai-kalshi-kxmillsplatner-26nov03-jul01 |
| Before Jun 29, 2026 | 45¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-janet-mills-endorse-graham-platner-in-the-mai-kalshi-kxmillsplatner-26nov03-jun29 |
| Before Jun 9, 2026 | 30¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-janet-mills-endorse-graham-platner-in-the-mai-kalshi-kxmillsplatner-26nov03-jun09 |
| Before May 15, 2026 | 4¢ | — | $127 | kalshi | /markets/will-janet-mills-endorse-graham-platner-in-the-mai-kalshi-kxmillsplatner-26nov03-may15 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Nov 3, 2026 | Before Jul 1, 2026 | Before Jun 29, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 82 | 48 | 43 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/millsplatner
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=millsplatner
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.