# Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 76%, runner-up 53% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 4 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.207Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 76%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 53%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $958

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | — | $127 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0x4623ed287418a5bf39de5989e32a7c2f8b2bf81fbbc0394406816ae845ebf0dd |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0xb4f2617e60cdea41830d1b7554304deb671ba4ffd41407407e37028c6c912aea |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0x90e1de547e4edfb33675a074a3589bb472a1ebe8c7350c46cf7cea08e916ad29 |
| Mirassol FC (-1.5) | 38¢ | −1pp | $558 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0xab18cc91a9294b98e85ab0a28731cd3c8d6e1658d8400fa3b0b1d1f9deef700a |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0x5e897940a0c9de0f5517aa4a4bb166bbc8c9de84dfc74ca3a058a8455a6de3e5 |
| Mirassol FC (-2.5) | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0x8f2e134686c71b83c28ba1dd898f6cb5ad5cd1e0de8f96caa0ed7e0405d0c878 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0xb8aa99291e5890efd05388cfbf552bf53dc4a75a4b8e88971b71f9f5b93d9ea4 |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5) | 4¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0xcc2a671a6578bb652e5c72623c0d061970e8fc302a2105025eb00e888934b5b4 |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-2.5) | 3¢ | −2pp | $265 | polymarket | /markets/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-mor-polymarket-0xfa3e0b04cb35d08a6bb0bd3f904420cb31dbccb174032f8ec7d31f6d87edfd6e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 77 | 53 | 49 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | 53 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This represents a 77% probability that a Mirassol FC versus Associação Chapecoense de Futebol match will have more than 1.5 total goals scored. The probability reflects expectations about both teams' offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities. The level is driven by typical goal frequencies in Brazilian football at this tier and how each squad has performed recently—Mirassol's attacking potency versus Chapecoense's defensive record would be primary considerations. The match itself will resolve this uncertainty; the outcome depends on actual team performance, tactical adjustments, and in-game circumstances when the fixture is played. Light trading volume ($133 in 24-hour volume on the leading contract) suggests modest market participation, though the pricing is internally consistent across related spread contracts. Traders are moderately confident in an over-1.5-goal result rather than viewing it as a toss-up.

### Key factors

- Mirassol FC's recent goal-scoring rate and average goals-per-match output in the current season
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol's defensive record and goals-conceded average over recent fixtures
- Head-to-head historical scoring patterns between these two clubs if available
- Low trading volume ($133 24h vol on top contract) indicates limited market conviction and potential pricing inefficiency
- Spread contract pricing shows 37¢ for Mirassol -1.5 and 30¢ for O/U 3.5, consistent with expectations of 2–3 total goals

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-more-markets

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