# Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 36% across 19 contracts — refreshed 49 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mirassol-fc-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-more-markets-sc
Updated: 2026-05-03T10:35:43.201Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 36% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $673

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 51¢ | ±0 | $118 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 31¢ | −1pp | $35 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x40633c2276af9f1982d3f919553af750dfe4d763a443056d9c52de4c6191f8d8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd128a438d67165805df816880348c9da14f4a48c449293d0a25e97f0e23233d7 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x5735da3e7d2a090ad05c030f77efb55ebc2288982ec45be75358f0e57d648821 |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) | 8¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x559461c25f175b01a1cbf6e4b72940b22f539eaf75dd59ecaca75722a2fd3557 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd92e3c6facd7cfe3772dc6c05c64835117ff536547aa381a46e39188f1b328a1 |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x65835d9cb539cf33b6489619365554af29a588a1cee0ddd74e727d6981c3d417 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 17¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x71f745c092060c8f80e06e6bed5141039827ad2a3fb79dfbb6322455bd9b44e7 |
| O/U 2.5 | 40¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x96cfcd71ed45e08b312ba37155767a1409aa65d9265dd47e691650b966761513 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x13712fed686d2b8c9fb4a3cfb1024a67967a412094efa5871638bff56c6025b6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 45 |
| 2026-05-02 | 47 |
| 2026-05-03 | 35 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 63→66¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −3pp 56→53¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mirassol-fc-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-more-markets-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mirassol-fc-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-more-markets-sc

## License

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