# MLB The Show 27

> Cover Athlete: Jazz Chisholm leads at 51%, runner-up 50% across 20 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlb-show-27
Updated: 2026-06-17T14:20:17.867Z
Category: sports
Status: active

## Headline

- Leader: Cover Athlete: Jazz Chisholm at 51%
- Runner-up: Cover Athlete: Aaron Judge at 50%
- Outcomes: 20 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cover Athlete: Jazz Chisholm | 51¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-jazz-chisholm-polymarket-0x9826d29e277c919a16a57ebb9967241495ed9631fbe9352262dc5441466c5eea |
| Cover Athlete: Aaron Judge | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-aaron-judge-polymarket-0x2102b029d71b18411085ea4f6afae1e05f333b0c16528dc208fc4d1aa4a1b85f |
| Cover Athlete: Jordan Walker | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-jordan-walker-polymarket-0x2cfbfeee0ae2340ce76a3d4fc9fe958e01cd6e01acccfffafa5e93921e421f7b |
| Cover Athlete: Elly De La Cruz | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-elly-de-la-cruz-polymarket-0x398be711d4c30168cd5aed68f3c8f0919a59e473e8f1d78e7f6c6f8898572979 |
| Cover Athlete: Bryan Woo | 50¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-bryan-woo-polymarket-0x4664d18be5edaac3969f30783bb3ac321f3608139f514018d7df5ba133afb5aa |
| Cover Athlete: Mason Miller | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-mason-miller-polymarket-0x498aa74f120f13ee9f736fc84899e8c5594629dd55a6d2efe7f790c02dc6e520 |
| Cover Athlete: Roman Anthony | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-roman-anthony-polymarket-0x509e72b08ff3142af5a4b5e801fe9df75cb4ee83a77f471b831e42b737469e8e |
| Cover Athlete: Matt Olson | 50¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-matt-olson-polymarket-0x5a3bbb5d1e0725d8592529afe787e5241df7ea4842e1a8a77cfa032405de81b5 |
| Cover Athlete: Juan Soto | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-juan-soto-polymarket-0x6f3bc7c6f7a7c288b94b859a119b8f7f9db445d68e1680a265f353acc1f2eee9 |
| Cover Athlete: Chris Sale | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-chris-sale-polymarket-0x7aa0c4cc3b79a8465ebb36145dcfb5988d68f31c55d0b956f66aef6e7ba2c21d |
| Cover Athlete: Kyle Schwarber | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-kyle-schwarber-polymarket-0x81de0bfae4e8a4bb5d17ae221f2e5d3059cf32c0cdf2c83a27596dc0aae53f0b |
| Cover Athlete: Paul Skenes | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-paul-skenes-polymarket-0x8b3bb569e63cf15a51f3f211952551d050bbc0a533709efd53b62d3d4c143a9c |
| Cover Athlete: Ben Rice | 50¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-ben-rice-polymarket-0x8c0451433b4d3d8a35b28d20e17f2e40efe4ec35dddd77aed86f2df7ffa8e483 |
| Cover Athlete: Bryce Harper | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-bryce-harper-polymarket-0x96d4de52b7be2ae4f5b219bbb8c28f6102757b5d0e0b4c5d9762a91d0086c1d8 |
| Cover Athlete: Junior Caminero | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-junior-caminero-polymarket-0x9832cf24ecef68b374287b8cd3f3b84c4656e03d9208feec3e9e296d77c86376 |
| Cover Athlete: Francisco Lindor | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-francisco-lindor-polymarket-0x9c040b103e7b0745f673722f775414210569a25b782c163689d45a5cbb61e276 |
| Cover Athlete: Nick Kurtz | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-nick-kurtz-polymarket-0xab485e765ce22ef765c24769d5aa11624f262862570c91f02e10d3296f6c1e8a |
| Cover Athlete: Bobby Witt Jr. | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-bobby-witt-jr-polymarket-0x277db9ee28ef69120bf70b3d060293a5febd73a1ac3185df9952798cbce638f7 |
| Cover Athlete: Tarik Skubal | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-tarik-skubal-polymarket-0x77bdd69325be84cbe115a2ef987423a7653bf7ee946d4edb2191429c9be996e4 |
| Cover Athlete: Shohei Ohtani | 48¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mlb-the-show-27-cover-athlete-shohei-ohtani-polymarket-0x21427df6bd270fbc9fbedc6e160546fabf12350607fb82a87168b8e8fb97b0cf |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Cover Athlete: Jazz Chisholm | Cover Athlete: Bryan Woo | Cover Athlete: Matt Olson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | 49 | 48 | 48 |
| 2026-06-17 | 52 | 52 | 52 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-17 · Cover Athlete: Shohei Ohtani +4pp 49→53¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-17 · Cover Athlete: Bryan Woo +4pp 48→52¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-17 · Cover Athlete: Matt Olson +4pp 48→52¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-17 · Cover Athlete: Jazz Chisholm +3pp 49→52¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This represents the probability that a specific player will be selected as the cover athlete for MLB The Show 27, based on aggregated market prices from 20 prediction contracts. The current 57% leader reflects market expectations about which player Sony San Diego Studio will choose, competing against Aaron Judge, Elly De La Cruz, Bryan Woo, and Matt Olson. Resolution depends on Sony's official announcement of the cover athlete, typically made during the game's marketing cycle before launch. The contracts show relatively tight clustering between top candidates (50-56 cents), indicating genuine uncertainty rather than consensus. Volume is currently zero, suggesting the market is in a quiet period before any official reveals or news breaks.

### Key factors

- Official cover athlete announcement from Sony San Diego Studio has not yet been made and represents the sole resolution event
- Market prices cluster tightly (50-56 cents across five candidates), indicating no dominant favorite and substantial residual uncertainty
- Recent player performance, injury status, and marketability during the 2026 season could influence Sony's selection criteria
- Shohei Ohtani and Matt Olson both trade at 56 cents, tied as co-leaders, suggesting market sees them as competitive alternatives
- Zero 24-hour volume indicates minimal recent trading activity, so current prices may not reflect very recent developments in player news or status

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlb-show-27
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mlb-show-27

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.