# Will Eli Willits play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2028

> Before Nov 1, 2029 leads at 71%, runner-up 69% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 50 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbdebut-ewillits
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:11.482Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2029-11-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Nov 1, 2029 at 71%
- Runner-up: Before Aug 1, 2029 at 69%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $124

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2029 | 71¢ | ±0 | $53 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-29nov01 |
| Before Aug 1, 2029 | 69¢ | +18pp | $9 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-29aug01 |
| Before May 1, 2029 | 69¢ | +18pp | $9 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-29may01 |
| Before Nov 1, 2028 | 65¢ | −7pp | $18 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-28nov01 |
| Before Aug 1, 2028 | 40¢ | −23pp | $6 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-28aug01 |
| Before May 1, 2028 | 24¢ | −2pp | $9 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-28may01 |
| Before Nov 1, 2027 | 6¢ | −42pp | $7 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-27nov01 |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | 4¢ | −4pp | $13 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-willits-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-th-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-ewillits-27aug01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Nov 1, 2029 | Before Aug 1, 2029 | Before May 1, 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-05-14 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 2026-05-19 | 64 | 67 | 69 |
| 2026-05-21 | — | — | 24 |
| 2026-05-28 | 71 | 65 | 65 |

_19 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-28 · Before Nov 1, 2027 −42pp 53→11¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Before May 1, 2029 −35pp 68→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-21 · Before May 1, 2029 −34pp 58→24¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Before Aug 1, 2029 −33pp 67→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-27 · Before May 1, 2028 −32pp 48→16¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbdebut-ewillits
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mlbdebut-ewillits

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.