# Will Franklin Arias play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2028

> Before Aug 1, 2028 leads at 84%, runner-up 84% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 16 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbdebut-farias
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.041Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2028-11-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Aug 1, 2028 at 84%
- Runner-up: Before Nov 1, 2028 at 84%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $68

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Aug 1, 2028 | 84¢ | +5pp | $38 | kalshi | /markets/will-franklin-arias-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-farias-28aug01 |
| Before Nov 1, 2028 | 84¢ | +8pp | $7 | kalshi | /markets/will-franklin-arias-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-farias-28nov01 |
| Before Nov 1, 2027 | 68¢ | +23pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/will-franklin-arias-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-farias-27nov01 |
| Before May 1, 2028 | 68¢ | +18pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-franklin-arias-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-farias-28may01 |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | 47¢ | +22pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-franklin-arias-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-farias-27aug01 |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 34¢ | +16pp | $8 | kalshi | /markets/will-franklin-arias-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-farias-27may01 |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 17¢ | +5pp | $3 | kalshi | /markets/will-franklin-arias-play-in-a-game-for-any-team-in-kalshi-kxmlbdebut-farias-26nov01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Aug 1, 2028 | Before Nov 1, 2028 | Before Nov 1, 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-05-14 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 2026-05-19 | 65 | 82 | 29 |
| 2026-05-20 | 68 | — | 30 |
| 2026-05-21 | — | — | 37 |
| 2026-05-28 | 72 | 84 | 63 |

_20 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-23 · Before Nov 1, 2028 −64pp 82→18¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-22 · Before Aug 1, 2028 −54pp 68→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Before Nov 1, 2028 +43pp 18→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-23 · Before Aug 1, 2028 +34pp 14→48¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Before May 1, 2028 −31pp 68→37¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbdebut-farias
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mlbdebut-farias

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.