# Will Drew Burress be a top 10 draft pick in 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 9 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbdrafttop
Updated: 2026-07-12T19:20:52.052Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-07-21

## Headline

- Probability: 13% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $138

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Flukey | 13¢ | +1pp | $138 | kalshi | /markets/will-cameron-flukey-be-a-top-10-draft-pick-in-2026-kalshi-kxmlbdrafttop-26-10-cflu |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | 13 |
| 2026-06-29 | 13 |
| 2026-07-07 | 13 |
| 2026-07-11 | 10 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-07-08 · Cameron Flukey −5pp 13→8¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market estimates a 51% probability that Drew Burress will be selected in the top 10 of the 2026 NFL Draft. The near-even odds suggest uncertainty about whether he'll maintain his current projection or slip further down the board. Burress's final position depends on his performance during the remainder of the pre-draft process, including any remaining workouts, interviews, and medical evaluations conducted by NFL teams. The 2026 NFL Draft, scheduled for late April 2026, will resolve this question definitively. Teams' final draft decisions are driven by their specific needs, board rankings, and trade activity on draft day, making prediction challenging when probabilities are balanced this closely.

### Key factors

- Drew Burress's performance metrics and film evaluation compared to other quarterback and skill position prospects in the 2026 class
- Results from NFL Combine testing, Pro Days, and any private workouts conducted in the months leading to the draft
- Trade activity and team positioning in the top 10, which determines how many available picks exist and what positions teams prioritize
- Medical evaluations and any injury history or concerns that could cause teams to downgrade or pass on Burress
- Declared intentions of teams holding top-10 picks regarding their draft priorities and publicly available mock draft consensus

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbdrafttop
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mlbdrafttop

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.