# Kyle Tucker: 1+ hits

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 45% across 17 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbhit
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:20:26.810Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-11

## Headline

- Probability: 45% (liquidity-weighted across 17 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (17 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (17)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hits?: Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ | 60¢ | — | $583 | kalshi | /markets/geraldo-perdomo-1-hits-geraldo-perdomo-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091915nymaz-azgperdomo2-1 |
| 2+ hits?: Bobby Witt Jr.: 2+ | 33¢ | — | $406 | kalshi | /markets/bobby-witt-jr-2-hits-bobby-witt-jr-2-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091910detkc-kcbwitt7-2 |
| 2+ hits?: Cal Raleigh: 2+ | 14¢ | — | $171 | kalshi | /markets/cal-raleigh-2-hits-cal-raleigh-2-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091910seacws-seacraleigh29-2 |
| 1+ hits?: Juan Soto: 1+ | 64¢ | — | $102 | kalshi | /markets/juan-soto-1-hits-juan-soto-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091915nymaz-nymjsoto22-1 |
| 1+ hits?: Corbin Carroll: 1+ | 60¢ | — | $91 | kalshi | /markets/corbin-carroll-1-hits-corbin-carroll-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091915nymaz-azccarroll7-1 |
| 2+ hits?: Juan Soto: 2+ | 24¢ | — | $75 | kalshi | /markets/juan-soto-2-hits-juan-soto-2-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091915nymaz-nymjsoto22-2 |
| 2+ hits?: Matt Olson: 2+ | 19¢ | — | $60 | kalshi | /markets/matt-olson-2-hits-matt-olson-2-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may092110atllad-atlmolson28-2 |
| 2+ hits?: Kyle Tucker: 2+ | 19¢ | — | $55 | kalshi | /markets/kyle-tucker-2-hits-kyle-tucker-2-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may092110atllad-ladktucker23-2 |
| 1+ hits?: Cal Raleigh: 1+ | 63¢ | — | $52 | kalshi | /markets/cal-raleigh-1-hits-cal-raleigh-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091910seacws-seacraleigh29-1 |
| 1+ hits?: Christian Walker: 1+ | 57¢ | — | $24 | kalshi | /markets/christian-walker-1-hits-christian-walker-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091610houcin-houcwalker8-1 |
| 1+ hits?: Byron Buxton: 1+ | 63¢ | — | $6 | kalshi | /markets/byron-buxton-1-hits-byron-buxton-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091810mincle-minbbuxton25-1 |
| 2+ hits?: Geraldo Perdomo: 2+ | 20¢ | — | $3 | kalshi | /markets/geraldo-perdomo-2-hits-geraldo-perdomo-2-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091915nymaz-azgperdomo2-2 |
| 2+ hits?: Nick Kurtz: 2+ | 23¢ | — | $3 | kalshi | /markets/nick-kurtz-2-hits-nick-kurtz-2-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091605athbal-athnkurtz16-2 |
| 1+ hits?: Kyle Tucker: 1+ | 56¢ | — | $2 | kalshi | /markets/kyle-tucker-1-hits-kyle-tucker-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may092110atllad-ladktucker23-1 |
| 1+ hits?: Shohei Ohtani: 1+ | 60¢ | — | $2 | kalshi | /markets/shohei-ohtani-1-hits-shohei-ohtani-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may092110atllad-ladsohtani17-1 |
| 1+ hits?: Vinnie Pasquantino: 1+ | 61¢ | — | $2 | kalshi | /markets/vinnie-pasquantino-1-hits-vinnie-pasquantino-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091910detkc-kcvpasquantino9-1 |
| 1+ hits?: CJ Abrams: 1+ | 64¢ | — | $2 | kalshi | /markets/cj-abrams-1-hits-cj-abrams-1-kalshi-kxmlbhit-26may091610wshmia-wshcabrams5-1 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 40 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbhit
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mlbhit

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.