# Los Angeles D vs San Francisco Total Runs

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 49% across 20 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbtotal
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:20:57.712Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 49% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $472K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 50¢ | +1pp | $160K | kalshi | /markets/toronto-vs-minnesota-total-runs-over-85-runs-score-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031245tormin-9 |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 50¢ | — | $72K | kalshi | /markets/cincinnati-vs-pittsburgh-total-runs-over-75-runs-s-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031335cinpit-8 |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 52¢ | +1pp | $55K | kalshi | /markets/milwaukee-vs-washington-total-runs-over-85-runs-sc-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031335milwsh-9 |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 47¢ | — | $33K | kalshi | /markets/atlanta-vs-colorado-total-runs-over-105-runs-score-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031510atlcol-11 |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 48¢ | −1pp | $26K | kalshi | /markets/philadelphia-vs-miami-total-runs-over-85-runs-scor-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031340phimia-9 |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 54¢ | +1pp | $25K | kalshi | /markets/baltimore-vs-new-york-y-total-runs-over-85-runs-sc-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031335balnyy-9 |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 50¢ | — | $21K | kalshi | /markets/los-angeles-d-vs-st-louis-total-runs-over-95-runs-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031415ladstl-10 |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 45¢ | +2pp | $21K | kalshi | /markets/san-francisco-vs-tampa-bay-total-runs-over-85-runs-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031340sftb-9 |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 47¢ | −1pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/cleveland-vs-as-total-runs-over-95-runs-scored-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031605cleath-10 |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 19¢ | +1pp | $10K | kalshi | /markets/cincinnati-vs-pittsburgh-total-runs-over-115-runs-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031335cinpit-12 |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 53¢ | +1pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/new-york-m-vs-los-angeles-a-total-runs-over-85-run-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031607nymlaa-9 |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 54¢ | +4pp | $6K | kalshi | /markets/san-francisco-vs-tampa-bay-total-runs-over-75-runs-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031340sftb-8 |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 75¢ | +2pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/toronto-vs-minnesota-total-runs-over-55-runs-score-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031245tormin-6 |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 53¢ | +3pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-total-runs-over-75-runs-sco-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610kcsea-8 |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 61¢ | +1pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/cincinnati-vs-pittsburgh-total-runs-over-65-runs-s-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031335cinpit-7 |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 35¢ | +3pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/new-york-m-vs-los-angeles-a-total-runs-over-105-ru-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031607nymlaa-11 |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 55¢ | +1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/chicago-ws-vs-san-diego-total-runs-over-75-runs-sc-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610cwssd-8 |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 86¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/new-york-m-vs-los-angeles-a-total-runs-over-45-run-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031607nymlaa-5 |
| Over 13.5 runs scored | 18¢ | — | $1K | kalshi | /markets/cleveland-vs-as-total-runs-over-135-runs-scored-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031605cleath-14 |
| Over 12.5 runs scored | 21¢ | +2pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/new-york-m-vs-los-angeles-a-total-runs-over-125-ru-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031607nymlaa-13 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 47 |
| 2026-05-03 | 50 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Over 7.5 runs scored +4pp 52→56¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 7.5 runs scored +3pp 50→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 10.5 runs scored +3pp 32→35¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlbtotal
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mlbtotal

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.