# MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

> 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Pedro Gallese leads at 69%, runner-up 49% across 20 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mls-goalkeeper-of
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:43.458Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-11-22

## Headline

- Leader: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Pedro Gallese at 69%
- Runner-up: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: CJ dos Santos at 49%
- Outcomes: 20 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Pedro Gallese | 69¢ | +4pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-pedro-gallese-polymarket-0x0102a919430e0d648f63ad613981eb4dbb1c2cf4de51eca7d1b0917ab512a5dd |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: CJ dos Santos | 49¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-cj-dos-santos-polymarket-0xfb424287ddee231337f6ea4ddf377b7283a2ff970af648d7bafea3e5c8394320 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Roman Bürki | 49¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-roman-brki-polymarket-0x4ebd732cfe49fd25b1dbe407ff600d8c7f49a12371d991113b664281b2a93a6b |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Brad Stuver | 49¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-brad-stuver-polymarket-0x95a29951dd25eab1cad11008c58a942d22eb0b348a1c8643e93b8f32122ac5b3 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Jonathan Sirois | 49¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-jonathan-sirois-polymarket-0x3e764266851b0d84b6ee54785df735b36994aa977b78d9e2964093720ad35e81 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Kristijan Kahlina | 49¢ | +18pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-kristijan-kahlina-polymarket-0x127b2a25eaadd43b9ef6d54426ad1e6f240008491bc65ea87387358c6f21606c |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Joe Willis | 47¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-joe-willis-polymarket-0x97a3c646deea6863408b15e35d54c65b0f68870141c7f88b905ec670f516318a |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Jonathan Bond | 45¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-jonathan-bond-polymarket-0x7a762debdba72acf7647c3fe81003d128e7404a8c41a364fa062761d721e8fb1 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Aljaž Ivačič | 44¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-alja-ivai-polymarket-0xee7796a8871de4408cc7f268727e55746945da117636542e1807a2993340d3be |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Oscar Ustari | 41¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-oscar-ustari-polymarket-0xb216c10f7f063bd9a2b843e8a32cbbee9b6ff87b17801c4e9c5533c7bc4d2608 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Michael Collodi | 40¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-michael-collodi-polymarket-0xfb3e8d2812201ad95ba0d3dc03a35bc55c825b1133d0aa639003596f7b1a05a4 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Lucas Hoyos | 30¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-lucas-hoyos-polymarket-0xfbc8775ca6f78fb81500c91b845784300b1e2004c5d2c6717635bc5f7605839a |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Chris Brady | 20¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-chris-brady-polymarket-0x44f93588c60461d4a69724103bd3f68251945706e15fd8fbe1a858c1d63c4f8c |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Luis Barraza | 20¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-luis-barraza-polymarket-0x1324c4a1cb184dc26d01c297a66a19a570f71260cc4903313efda1b04646a048 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Andre Blake | 17¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-andre-blake-polymarket-0xdd736f68053fdf60dd2b1ba874368810be5ec3aa7380387f8c7bb4c6a353a11b |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Patrick Schulte | 17¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-patrick-schulte-polymarket-0xfabe934e13e303fa5611663e6cbda159a42190dc9695c55f12923eb5b4ebfdd6 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Matt Freese | 16¢ | −13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-matt-freese-polymarket-0x213175187af23c917ece77fc13dbab65389a4d7eb745caf829756bc5f0c768bc |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Sean Johnson | 16¢ | −13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-sean-johnson-polymarket-0x58be5495b4f1e98f83a907e611891a2e1f3f3bc9efd55c60fa7de1341dc1c047 |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Carlos Coronel | 15¢ | −15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-carlos-coronel-polymarket-0x6cedf6b324fc83e9fdeade7367214a90d4c44a42f475f62b00b18b863060cfbf |
| 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Roman Celentano | 9¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-2026-goalkeeper-of-the-year-roman-celentano-polymarket-0xc2a3e907d36b00f9fc030f6a299b9a18e6d58c52ee9831a1a6aff206cbc70069 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Pedro Gallese | 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: CJ dos Santos | 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Roman Bürki |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 46 | 41 | 42 |
| 2026-04-22 | 40 | 39 | 44 |
| 2026-04-25 | — | — | 46 |
| 2026-05-02 | 34 | 47 | 43 |
| 2026-05-08 | 65 | 38 | 37 |
| 2026-05-09 | 69 | 37 | — |

_29 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Pedro Gallese +20pp 45→65¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Chris Brady −20pp 45→25¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: CJ dos Santos −20pp 47→27¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Luis Barraza −20pp 44→24¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Andre Blake −18pp 46→28¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 43% probability indicates that the leading candidate for MLS's 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year award is assessed as moderately favored but faces meaningful competition. The market reflects uncertainty driven by the season's progression, individual goalkeeper performance consistency, and voting patterns of MLS's award committee. Pedro Gallese leads the contracts at 34 cents, but several keepers—Kristijan Kahlina, Luis Barraza, and Chris Brady—are clustered at 24 cents, suggesting comparable viability. The market shows minimal trading volume across all contracts ($0 in 24-hour volume), indicating limited recent consensus-building. The final award determination will hinge on goalkeeper save percentages, shutouts, and team performance through the end of the 2026 regular season, with the winner announced after the season concludes. Team playoff success may also influence committee voting, though the primary voting period occurs after regular-season completion.

### Key factors

- Pedro Gallese's current market price (34¢) exceeds the next tier of competitors by 10 percentage points, suggesting measurable performance advantage through May 2026
- Four goalkeepers are tied at 24 cents, indicating fragmentation of second-tier support rather than consensus on the runner-up
- Zero trading volume across all contracts in the past 24 hours suggests the market is not actively repricing based on recent matches or statistics
- The MLS regular season runs through October 2026, meaning roughly 65% of games remain unplayed—significant performance data and injury risk remain
- Award voting typically emphasizes save percentage, shutouts, and minutes played; these stats will shift materially over the season's final five months

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mls-goalkeeper-of
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mls-goalkeeper-of

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