# Will Columbus win the MLS Eastern Conference

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 11% across 3 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlseast
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:38.486Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-08

## Headline

- Probability: 11% (liquidity-weighted across 3 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 20¢ | +4pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/will-miami-win-the-mls-eastern-conference-miami-kalshi-kxmlseast-26-mia |
| New York City | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-new-york-city-win-the-mls-eastern-conference-kalshi-kxmlseast-26-nyc |
| Nashville | 8¢ | −10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-nashville-win-the-mls-eastern-conference-nash-kalshi-kxmlseast-26-nsh |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 6 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | 9 |
| 2026-05-08 | 8 |

_22 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Nashville +11pp 7→18¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Nashville −10pp 18→8¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Miami +4pp 8→12¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Nashville −4pp 8→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Nashville +3pp 4→7¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mlseast
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mlseast

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.