# Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary

> Draw (Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary) leads at 38%, runner-up 32% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/modern-sc-vs-el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary
Updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:38.876Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-08

## Headline

- Leader: Draw (Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary) at 38%
- Runner-up: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary at 32%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $125

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary) | 38¢ | −1pp | $52 | polymarket | /markets/modern-sc-vs-el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-draw-moder-polymarket-0x21f0b7b5e3379302a30466526ba33b2e82abc4b295a302c1039e4a9e4a4d4478 |
| El Ittihad SC El Iskandary | 32¢ | ±0 | $44 | polymarket | /markets/modern-sc-vs-el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-el-ittihad-polymarket-0xfe3b55d127d98aca0943c7083c9b5685b6ba421f8de256b27fb786e4bc0e8dd8 |
| Modern SC | 31¢ | ±0 | $29 | polymarket | /markets/modern-sc-vs-el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-modern-sc-polymarket-0x2aa903b3c52b4c131a8b0cd0e93b01561aa0d60fcdd28aff7fae693ba24455cf |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Draw (Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary) | El Ittihad SC El Iskandary | Modern SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 35 | 36 | 43 |
| 2026-05-06 | 36 | 32 | 32 |
| 2026-05-07 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 2026-05-08 | 37 | 32 | — |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Modern SC −11pp 43→32¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · El Ittihad SC El Iskandary −4pp 36→32¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 42% probability that Modern SC will defeat El Ittihad SC El Iskandary in an upcoming match. The probability slightly favors Modern SC over both a draw (32%) and an El Ittihad victory (33%), suggesting market participants view Modern SC as the marginal favorite. Current pricing reflects relatively balanced uncertainty across all three outcomes, with no single result commanding majority probability. The main drivers of this forecast are likely each team's recent form, head-to-head history, and squad composition. The outcome will be determined when the two teams compete, with the match result providing definitive resolution. Low recent trading volume suggests limited new information has shifted positions substantially in recent trading activity.

### Key factors

- Modern SC's recent league performance and goal differential compared to El Ittihad SC El Iskandary in the current season
- Head-to-head historical record between the two teams and performance trends in direct matchups
- Team injury status and player availability for key positions immediately before the scheduled match
- Home/away venue advantage and historical performance patterns at each team's ground
- El Ittihad SC El Iskandary's current league position and momentum relative to Modern SC's standing

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/modern-sc-vs-el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=modern-sc-vs-el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.