# Modern SC vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 41% across 19 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/modern-sc-vs-talaea-el-gaish-sc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:23.026Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 41% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Libertad (-2.5) | 3¢ | −5pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/ca-rosario-central-vs-club-libertad-more-markets-c-polymarket-0x361624a6355e101000836b0b062690d685a0dd4c42fedd688a7b7e5210f68104 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 32¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xc7227427d717e9b2e1623fe742087682ff01b0cb992c0d39e7226d057067aff4 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x7b51f5b1ae95d3ae4b6193060967617edf485cb2b357f723eab19886c6839166 |
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xcfd8ae93ecfdafad54e0f1ea37dc78d8f07fd74db45a6370d6396a37b8c856c9 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xf2f172d3c51f51880b72b4870d410b871c7520e383ea2a035bcedb034dd1fbe5 |
| Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-2.5) | 40¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x058269a1aff18752c3ada2ccc0f4c7bda0e35bfca83f4c3305f3ae9363961b16 |
| Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x38d77b59a8939f700428b00e675928555c3628f66fe7b86df5717a13cac987c4 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x288ff0e2c8f28d2ce3086cdcf50104581d515384996453e7affbe355cdb23634 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x5e259bb37b4c32909df4d0c35554cdd4df86416c9592834bc94d270ad9099efe |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xbba7de6218bf80a3f35ab8e20bc25a1ffc79547250260eb453886765e28bc1f0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 42 |
| 2026-05-02 | 43 |
| 2026-05-03 | 40 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Club Libertad (-2.5) −5pp 11→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 63→66¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/modern-sc-vs-talaea-el-gaish-sc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=modern-sc-vs-talaea-el-gaish-sc-more-markets

## License

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