# Mumbai City FC vs. East Bengal FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 73%, runner-up 54% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:05:50.975Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 54%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-ou-1-polymarket-0x1c8aa188facd606d71772f42672c1b35779ae17347353414187548038770811a |
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-both-polymarket-0x4d7c4d3d2a8333e19cc0f197aa44846a2b1667626e96254e8086a4f61c2e2b66 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-ou-2-polymarket-0xc8761a39c548cf21fe99831e32fb9480a701f391bbf2027b09f928afd428bc65 |
| O/U 3.5 | 27¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-ou-3-polymarket-0x8a0a7cd897a95105009d3b62506a9ad322007a30437f184f30da7b1882f29c4e |
| East Bengal FC (-1.5) | 15¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-east-polymarket-0x1ef468ee3081d30662507065ce715a91db79b15ca6d9b4751e4f518e347d3cd4 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x53fd8b923d5e1f12a9478a352cefc4d33c01ca82e35715c6cd4740834b1fa3a0 |
| Mumbai City FC (-1.5) | 12¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-mumb-polymarket-0x859e14eb8d562e2f86de05a1bed5fea9676ee2c949cf0e1467b322ad4c55c478 |
| East Bengal FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-east-polymarket-0x39ca4c9671c66f04c8c1d8778c0cda06ba2c6287d25ce9366dedfaccf4069a02 |
| Mumbai City FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-mumb-polymarket-0x870a5070cb227431dd8fa05a817bcfe2a8b48c71e801586b5639d147d7b97744 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 | O/U 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 56 | — | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 55 | 47 | 27 |
| 2026-05-03 | 53 | — | 28 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Mumbai City FC (-2.5) +7pp 14→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · East Bengal FC (-2.5) −6pp 19→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Mumbai City FC (-2.5) −3pp 17→14¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 54% probability reflects market expectation that both Mumbai City FC and East Bengal FC will score in their upcoming match. This outcome is priced as more likely than any alternative single result tracked on these contracts. The probability appears driven by recent offensive performance patterns in Indian Super League matches and the relative strength of both teams' attacking units against their defensive counterparts. The match itself will resolve this uncertainty; the outcome depends on whether each team manages to find the net at least once, which hinges on execution in the final third, defensive stability, and team tactics on the day. Historical scoring frequency in similar matchups and current form of key strikers and defensive lines will be critical to whether the actual result aligns with or diverges from this 54% estimate.

### Key factors

- Both teams' goal-scoring records in recent ISL fixtures compared to their opponents' defensive records
- The absence of recent injury updates for key attackers or defensive players on either side
- Current league table position and goal differential trends for Mumbai City FC and East Bengal FC
- Head-to-head scoring patterns in previous meetings between these two clubs
- Starting lineups and tactical setup confirmed closer to or at match time, which could shift defensive vulnerability

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets

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