# Will Ty Dillon finish in the top 20 at NASCAR Jack Link's 500

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 65% across 1 contract — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nascartop20
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:39.296Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-08

## Headline

- Probability: 65% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $0
- Resolved: Alex Bowman

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Suárez | 65¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-daniel-surez-finish-in-the-top-20-at-nascar-g-kalshi-kxnascartop20-gobat26-dasu |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 70 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nascartop20
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nascartop20

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.