# Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026 — >$24,000

> 25,249.86 or above leads at 75%, runner-up 23% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 30 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nasdaq-100-ndx-above
Updated: 2026-06-08T07:20:12.181Z
Category: markets
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Leader: 25,249.86 or above at 75%
- Runner-up: 33,000.01 or above at 23%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $303

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,249.86 or above | 75¢ | +2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-nasdaq-100-be-above-2524985-at-the-end-of-kalshi-kxnasdaq100pos-26dec31h1600-t25249.85 |
| 33,000.01 or above | 23¢ | +1pp | $301 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-nasdaq-100-be-above-33000-at-the-end-of-d-kalshi-kxnasdaq100y-26dec31h1600-t33000 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 25,249.86 or above | 33,000.01 or above |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 65 | 26 |
| 2026-05-25 | 69 | 40 |
| 2026-06-01 | 76 | 31 |
| 2026-06-07 | 73 | 24 |
| 2026-06-08 | 75 | — |

_31 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-05 · 33,000.01 or above −6pp 35→29¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-06 · 33,000.01 or above −6pp 29→23¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-01 · 33,000.01 or above +5pp 26→31¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-03 · 25,249.86 or above −5pp 78→73¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-04 · 25,249.86 or above +5pp 73→78¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nasdaq-100-ndx-above
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nasdaq-100-ndx-above

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.