# Nashville SC vs. D.C. United SC

> Nashville SC leads at 59%, runner-up 25% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nashville-sc-vs-dc-united-sc
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.210Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: Nashville SC at 59%
- Runner-up: Draw (Nashville SC vs. D.C. United SC) at 25%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 59¢ | +1pp | $960 | polymarket | /markets/nashville-sc-vs-dc-united-sc-nashville-sc-polymarket-0x9de056535c2b519ed60646a650793a4fa97e07590ea595bfbbc3cd7b2fcd7fb5 |
| Draw (Nashville SC vs. D.C. United SC) | 25¢ | — | $217 | polymarket | /markets/nashville-sc-vs-dc-united-sc-draw-nashville-sc-vs-polymarket-0x9331e7ab12ee8491e43daed545d61b688af147212eb7db762c283a88d00f6d98 |
| D.C. United SC | 18¢ | — | $368 | polymarket | /markets/nashville-sc-vs-dc-united-sc-dc-united-sc-polymarket-0xe89ec5f9353e3ea3242bf1b69051bccb14e4d71e5271812c4b18d2a9d8abb751 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Nashville SC | Draw (Nashville SC vs. D.C. United SC) | D.C. United SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 62 | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 63 | — | 15 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | 23 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market prices Nashville SC as a 62% favorite over D.C. United in an upcoming match. The probability reflects current form, team strength, and venue considerations based on available betting data. Key factors affecting this price include each team's recent performance, injury status, and whether the match is home or away for Nashville. The result will be determined when the teams play, which is the single concrete event that resolves this market. Movement in this probability before that date would indicate either new information about team condition or shifts in market sentiment as the match approaches.

### Key factors

- Nashville SC's recent win-loss record and goal differential relative to D.C. United's current standing in the MLS table
- Home field advantage if Nashville is hosting, or D.C. United's defensive record in away matches if playing on the road
- Confirmed player availability and injury reports for key starters on both sides within 48 hours of kickoff
- Head-to-head historical results and performance patterns in recent meetings between the two clubs
- Current form streak—consecutive wins/losses or consistency in scoring for either team in the past 5-10 matches

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nashville-sc-vs-dc-united-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nashville-sc-vs-dc-united-sc

## License

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