# Will the natural gas close price be above 2.790 USD/MMBtu on Apr 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/natgasd
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:50:30.901Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: above $2.700 at 58%
- Runner-up: above $2.705 at 56%
- Outcomes: 13 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (13 contracts)
- 24h volume: $6K

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $2.700 | 58¢ | +3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2700-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.700 |
| above $2.705 | 56¢ | +4pp | $405 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2705-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.705 |
| above $2.710 | 52¢ | +4pp | $195 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2710-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.710 |
| above $2.720 | 46¢ | +3pp | $221 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2720-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.720 |
| above $2.725 | 45¢ | +2pp | $377 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2725-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.725 |
| above $2.760 | 28¢ | −1pp | $326 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2760-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.760 |
| above $2.765 | 24¢ | −2pp | $511 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2765-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.765 |
| above $2.800 | 11¢ | −5pp | $583 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2800-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.800 |
| above $3 | 11¢ | — | $195 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-3-usdmmb-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t3 |
| above $2.810 | 9¢ | −4pp | $156 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2810-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.810 |
| above $2.820 | 9¢ | — | $127 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-2820-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t2.820 |
| above $3.035 | 6¢ | — | $187 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-3035-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t3.035 |
| above $3.145 | 5¢ | — | $300 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-natural-gas-close-price-be-above-3145-usd-kalshi-kxnatgasd-26may0717-t3.145 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | above $2.700 | above $2.705 | above $2.710 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 58 | 55 | 52 |
| 2026-05-07 | 61 | 59 | 56 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · above $2.800 −5pp 16→11¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · above $2.705 +4pp 55→59¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · above $2.710 +4pp 52→56¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · above $2.810 −4pp 13→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · above $2.700 +3pp 58→61¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/natgasd
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=natgasd

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.