# National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC

> Closed. Last odds frozen 12 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc
Updated: 2026-05-08T18:50:15.207Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: National Bank of Egypt Club at 52%
- Runner-up: Draw (National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC) at 30%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $703

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank of Egypt Club | 52¢ | +10pp | $532 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-national-polymarket-0x02c64888a78e66672a3ff6c6754ee634be98ae026892be7172cab3afe9878403 |
| Draw (National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC) | 30¢ | +2pp | $141 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-draw-nat-polymarket-0x1728e32083f0ab510114b7f40c66a2a8eda92106d50a673273f512a2b5eed4de |
| Ismaily SC | 18¢ | −13pp | $31 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-ismaily-polymarket-0xb614f604f002e69bd8d40ef79994b1c29ab925cc96434baee1ee2e0cff41aa93 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | National Bank of Egypt Club | Draw (National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC) | Ismaily SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 42 | 33 | 34 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 | 33 | 34 |
| 2026-05-06 | 47 | 32 | 21 |
| 2026-05-07 | 57 | 34 | 8 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Ismaily SC −13pp 34→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Ismaily SC −13pp 21→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · National Bank of Egypt Club +10pp 47→57¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · National Bank of Egypt Club +5pp 42→47¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects traders' assessment that National Bank of Egypt Club has a 43% chance of winning their match against Ismaily SC, with competitor Ismaily SC priced at 35% and a draw scenario at the remainder. The probability sits notably below even odds, suggesting market participants view Ismaily SC as slightly favored or see meaningful uncertainty in the outcome. The current level likely reflects recent team form, head-to-head history, and any available squad information. The match result will resolve this market once the final whistle concludes play. Movement in this probability would follow any roster changes, injury announcements, or public performance data released before kickoff. The specific match date and venue conditions will function as the primary catalyst for settling the contract.

### Key factors

- Recent league standings and win-loss records for both teams in their current season
- Head-to-head historical performance in prior matchups between National Bank of Egypt Club and Ismaily SC
- Announced injuries, suspensions, or roster changes affecting either team's available players
- Trading volume distribution across the three outcome contracts, indicating where larger position holders have placed confidence
- Match venue location and any environmental factors (pitch condition, travel fatigue, crowd composition) that typically affect Egyptian Premier League outcomes

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc

## License

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