# Nikola Jokić

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 24% across 13 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nba2d
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:40.715Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-23

## Headline

- Probability: 24% (liquidity-weighted across 13 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (13 contracts)
- 24h volume: $888

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Double: Jarrett Allen | 18¢ | — | $209 | kalshi | /markets/jarrett-allen-double-double-jarrett-allen-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09detcle-clejallen31 |
| Double Double: Deandre Ayton | 20¢ | +12pp | $174 | kalshi | /markets/deandre-ayton-double-double-deandre-ayton-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09okclal-laldayton5 |
| Double Double: Ausar Thompson | 8¢ | — | $109 | kalshi | /markets/ausar-thompson-double-double-ausar-thompson-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09detcle-detathompson9 |
| Double Double: Cade Cunningham | 47¢ | — | $95 | kalshi | /markets/cade-cunningham-double-double-cade-cunningham-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09detcle-detccunningham2 |
| Double Double: Jalen Duren | 53¢ | — | $84 | kalshi | /markets/jalen-duren-double-double-jalen-duren-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09detcle-detjduren0 |
| Double Double: LeBron James | 37¢ | +14pp | $82 | kalshi | /markets/lebron-james-double-double-lebron-james-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09okclal-lalljames23 |
| Double Double: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 12¢ | +8pp | $41 | kalshi | /markets/shai-gilgeous-alexander-double-double-shai-gilgeou-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09okclal-okcsgilgeousalexander2 |
| Double Double: Isaiah Hartenstein | 16¢ | +7pp | $41 | kalshi | /markets/isaiah-hartenstein-double-double-isaiah-hartenstei-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09okclal-okcihartenstein55 |
| Double Double: Chet Holmgren | 36¢ | +10pp | $24 | kalshi | /markets/chet-holmgren-double-double-chet-holmgren-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09okclal-okccholmgren7 |
| Double Double: Evan Mobley | 32¢ | — | $18 | kalshi | /markets/evan-mobley-double-double-evan-mobley-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09detcle-cleemobley4 |
| Double Double: Austin Reaves | 7¢ | +4pp | $11 | kalshi | /markets/austin-reaves-double-double-austin-reaves-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09okclal-lalareaves15 |
| Double Double: James Harden | 15¢ | +12pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/james-harden-double-double-james-harden-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09detcle-clejharden1 |
| Double Double: Tobias Harris | 8¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/tobias-harris-double-double-tobias-harris-kalshi-kxnba2d-26may09detcle-dettharris12 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | 16 |
| 2026-05-09 | 19 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · Double Double: LeBron James +14pp 23→37¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · Double Double: Deandre Ayton +12pp 8→20¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · Double Double: James Harden +12pp 4→16¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · Double Double: Chet Holmgren +10pp 26→36¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · Double Double: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander +8pp 4→12¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nba2d
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nba2d

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.