# Orlando vs Detroit

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 34% across 10 contracts — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nba2hwinner
Updated: 2026-05-03T21:05:57.355Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-17

## Headline

- Probability: 34% (liquidity-weighted across 10 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (10 contracts)
- 24h volume: $949

## Bound contracts (10)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Second Half Winner?: Detroit wins 2nd half | 53¢ | +5pp | $522 | kalshi | /markets/orlando-vs-detroit-second-half-winner-detroit-wins-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may03orldet-det |
| Second Half Winner?: Orlando wins 2nd half | 41¢ | +6pp | $408 | kalshi | /markets/orlando-vs-detroit-second-half-winner-orlando-wins-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may03orldet-orl |
| Second Half Winner?: Cleveland wins 2nd half | 53¢ | +3pp | $12 | kalshi | /markets/toronto-vs-cleveland-second-half-winner-cleveland-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may03torcle-cle |
| Second Half Winner?: Toronto wins 2nd half | 25¢ | +2pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/toronto-vs-cleveland-second-half-winner-toronto-wi-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may03torcle-tor |
| Second Half Winner?: San Antonio wins 2nd half | 52¢ | −1pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/minnesota-vs-san-antonio-second-half-winner-san-an-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may04minsas-sas |
| Second Half Winner?: Oklahoma City wins 2nd half | 46¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/los-angeles-l-vs-oklahoma-city-second-half-winner-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may05lalokc-okc |
| Second Half Winner?: Los Angeles L wins 2nd half | 11¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/los-angeles-l-vs-oklahoma-city-second-half-winner-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may05lalokc-lal |
| Second Half Winner?: New York wins 2nd half | 35¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/philadelphia-vs-new-york-second-half-winner-new-yo-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may04phinyk-nyk |
| Second Half Winner?: Philadelphia wins 2nd half | 16¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/philadelphia-vs-new-york-second-half-winner-philad-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may04phinyk-phi |
| Second Half Winner?: Minnesota wins 2nd half | 11¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/minnesota-vs-san-antonio-second-half-winner-minnes-kalshi-kxnba2hwinner-26may04minsas-min |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 33 |
| 2026-05-02 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 34 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Second Half Winner?: Orlando wins 2nd half +6pp 19→25¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Second Half Winner?: Detroit wins 2nd half +5pp 44→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Second Half Winner?: Cleveland wins 2nd half +3pp 42→45¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nba2hwinner
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nba2hwinner

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.