# Will De'Aaron Fox record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs

> Closed. Last odds frozen 13 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nba3ptallgames
Updated: 2026-06-15T01:20:50.451Z
Category: sports
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-27

## Headline

- Probability: 70% (liquidity-weighted across 8 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 95¢ | −9pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-victor-wembanyama-record-1-three-pointers-mad-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin1-sasvwembanyama1 |
| Jalen Brunson: 2+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 89¢ | +9pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-jalen-brunson-record-2-three-pointers-made-in-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin2-nykjbrunson11 |
| Julian Champagnie: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 67¢ | −14pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-julian-champagnie-record-1-three-pointers-mad-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin1-sasjchampagnie30 |
| OG Anunoby: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 63¢ | −8pp | $900 | kalshi | /markets/will-og-anunoby-record-1-three-pointers-made-in-ev-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin1-nykoanunoby8 |
| Devin Vassell: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 64¢ | −36pp | $805 | kalshi | /markets/will-devin-vassell-record-1-three-pointers-made-in-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin1-sasdvassell24 |
| Stephon Castle: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 91¢ | −13pp | $599 | kalshi | /markets/will-stephon-castle-record-1-three-pointers-made-i-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin1-sasscastle5 |
| Jalen Brunson: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 69¢ | −19pp | $536 | kalshi | /markets/will-jalen-brunson-record-1-three-pointers-made-in-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin1-nykjbrunson11 |
| OG Anunoby: 2+ made three pointers in every game of the series | 20¢ | −32pp | $380 | kalshi | /markets/will-og-anunoby-record-2-three-pointers-made-in-ev-kalshi-kxnba3ptallgames-26nyksasfin2-nykoanunoby8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | 25 |
| 2026-06-14 | 56 |

_14 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market asks whether De'Aaron Fox will make at least one three-pointer in every game of the Finals series between New York and San Antonio. At 24%, it reflects skepticism that any player maintains consistent three-point production across an entire playoff series. The probability depends primarily on series length (best-of-7 means more games to avoid going scoreless from three) and Fox's role in the Knicks' offensive system. For context, related markets show Victor Wembanyama at 41% for the same threshold, suggesting expectations differ significantly by player. The series outcome itself, currently underway or imminent, will determine which games actually occur and whether Fox maintains the required consistency throughout.

### Key factors

- De'Aaron Fox's historical three-point frequency during the 2025-26 regular season and prior playoff performance
- Whether the series extends to 6 or 7 games versus concluding in 4 or 5, directly affecting total opportunities for Fox to miss the threshold
- Fox's role and minutes in New York's Finals offensive scheme and whether defensive focus from San Antonio affects his shooting opportunities
- The comparative market prices for similar players (Wembanyama at 41%, Towns at 23% for 1+ makes) suggesting Fox is priced as lower probability than some peers
- Historical data on whether any NBA guard typically makes three-pointers in every single Finals game across multiple contests

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

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